NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	99		Excitement	8.3 [189]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +28.3%
Detroit Pistons	93		Comeback	3.5 [343]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): -20.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.28	0.12	0.19	0.02	13	69%	0.39	2	-0.10	10	90%	0.12
O.J. Mayo	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.07	0.14	-0.00	10	64%	0.25	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.06
Rudy Gay	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	13	46%	0.07	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.04
Sam Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lester Hudson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	11	58%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.00	-0.09	0.02	22	52%	0.04	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	8	68%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.14
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	9	70%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	15	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.2	-0.20	0.01	-0.21	-0.00	15	50%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.13	0.02	20	39%	-0.14	1	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.5	26.4	16.8	28.2	2.4	36.1	142.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +34.7%

MEM +58.8%

DET -26.0%

DET -17.0%

DET -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DET	NBA	MEM	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	17.0	15.3	112.5	108.1	106.0
season	15.4	16.8		106.8	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		109.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.9	18.9	15.3	17.0	16.1
DET	15.0	15.4	19.9	18.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	73	72	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-8	22	15.1	20.9	-5.80	16.6	19.1	-2.57
Marc Gasol	74	71	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.23	14	-8	22	16.3	15.3	1.00	17.5	14.7	2.73
Mike Conley	62	62	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-6	18	16.3	15.7	0.67	18.0	14.4	3.63
Zach Randolph	74	73	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	0	6	16.9	11.9	5.08	17.7	12.8	4.88
O.J. Mayo	76	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-3	12	16.4	14.6	1.79	17.4	14.6	2.80
Lester Hudson	1	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	6	-6	1.0	16.3	-15.30	1.0	17.2	-16.18
DeMarre Carroll	12	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	6	-6	15.0	16.3	-1.30	15.3	17.3	-1.98
Hasheem Thabeet	13	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	11	-16	11.8	16.9	-5.02	12.2	17.7	-5.51
Jamaal Tinsley	26	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	12	-18	15.7	16.3	-0.67	13.8	18.3	-4.50
Sam Young	29	30	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.01	-14	20	-34	18.4	15.0	3.41	17.6	16.7	0.89

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	27	27	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.15	5	-11	16	18.7	16.2	2.55	19.3	14.7	4.52
Chucky Atkins	25	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-6	6	17.3	16.9	0.41	16.8	15.9	0.94
Chris Wilcox	25	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	4	-14	18.3	16.5	1.82	14.8	16.7	-1.92
Jonas Jerebko	38	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	2	-10	16.2	17.6	-1.44	15.9	16.3	-0.36
Charlie Villanueva	55	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.43	5	-11	16	16.3	18.2	-1.88	16.7	15.2	1.56
Tayshaun Prince	56	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-3	0	18.0	15.1	2.90	17.2	14.1	3.07
Rodney Stuckey	66	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.36	-1	-5	4	16.8	17.6	-0.86	16.0	16.6	-0.59
Richard Hamilton	73	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	0	-6	16.7	18.5	-1.83	15.3	20.8	-5.45
Ben Wallace	65	68	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.40	-12	6	-18	16.3	19.0	-2.66	14.9	20.2	-5.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.35,0.55,0.72,0.57,0.26,0	93.5%
CLE 93, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.59,0.58,0	91.9%
NOH 100, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.9,0.59,0	91.7%