NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	8.2 [230]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +49.1%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	3.6 [258]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): -36.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.49	0.15	0.34	-0.00	12	67%	0.59	2	-0.10	16	94%	0.24
Damon Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Ira Newble	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	4	90%	0.12	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	7	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	23	56%	0.09	6	-0.22	8	62%	-0.03
Donyell Marshall	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	9	20%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.14	-0.00	14	67%	0.38	1	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.00	6	87%	0.24	2	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.01	11	87%	0.20	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	5	18%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	8	50%	0.08	3	-0.20	4	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.37	-0.37	-0.14	-0.21	0.01	20	33%	-0.29	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.4	27.3	18.5	23.3	2.8	44.2	147.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -24.6%

CLE +46.2%

CLE +4.7%

CLE +24.1%

IND -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	17.5	15.2	15.6	106.9	100.0	104.4
season	16.2	16.0		105.6	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.1	17.1	21.8	15.7	17.5
IND	18.1	13.6	15.2	14.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	63	62	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.45	14	-10	24	16.9	19.0	-2.11	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Eric Snow	58	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-3	10	16.7	19.1	-2.38	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Damon Jones	55	56	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	1	2	17.5	17.6	-0.07	15.6	14.7	0.86
LeBron James	82	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	0	4	17.3	20.8	-3.48	15.2	15.7	-0.54
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	68	70	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.39	2	2	0	16.9	19.8	-2.97	15.1	15.7	-0.64
Ira Newble	28	29	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.23	-4	8	-12	16.2	18.1	-1.92	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Sasha Pavlovic	41	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	1	2	18.8	16.4	2.44	15.1	15.3	-0.17
Alan Henderson	4	5	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	8	-12	18.0	17.5	0.51	12.6	15.4	-2.79
Donyell Marshall	39	41	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	8	-12	19.5	15.9	3.66	15.9	14.7	1.19

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	31	31	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-4	4	15.3	15.2	0.13	18.4	17.0	1.40
Eddie Gill	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-3	2	0.0	15.6	-15.59	10.0	17.6	-7.60
Anthony Johnson	47	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-5	6	15.2	15.3	-0.05	18.0	17.1	0.88
David Harrison	47	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-5	6	15.5	14.9	0.63	18.1	16.9	1.18
Danny Granger	77	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-4	4	15.4	14.4	0.95	17.9	15.2	2.78
Austin Croshere	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	2	-8	15.7	14.3	1.39	17.9	16.6	1.29
Fred Jones	50	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	14.4	16.3	-1.86	16.1	19.4	-3.33
Sarunas Jasikevicius	53	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	15.2	15.2	0.02	17.0	18.3	-1.38
Stephen Jackson	77	76	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.43	-11	7	-18	15.5	13.7	1.81	17.3	19.3	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.59,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.42,0	91.9%
NYK 96, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.45,0.42,0	91.3%
IND 94, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.37,0	91.1%