NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	8.2 [226]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +33.4%
Washington Wizards	84		Comeback	11.8 [106]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -44.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.00	8	100%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.10	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	14	51%	0.03	3	-0.09	9	78%	0.05
George Lynch	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	0.06	-0.00	14	27%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Eric Snow	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	12	50%	-0.01	1	-0.09	4	50%	-0.07
Allen Iverson	-0.44	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.33,-0.38,-0.38,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44	-0.28	-0.17	-0.01	18	13%	-0.38	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	8	76%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.03	0.01	11	50%	0.08	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.04
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	35%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Gerard King	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	9	40%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.12	-0.00	9	60%	-0.01	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Jahidi White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	18	38%	-0.21	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	26.2	14.8	26.0	1.7	44.2	138.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.0%

WAS -10.2%

PHI +17.2%

PHI +15.6%

WAS -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	16.3	17.6	15.2	102.4	98.8	101.7
season	15.0	15.5		99.5	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.5		104.4	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.2	17.1	18.8	13.5	16.3
WAS	18.1	18.0	17.2	17.2	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	42	42	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.53	9	-6	15	15.3	17.3	-1.97	16.8	18.4	-1.66
Toni Kukoc	63	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	-5	13	15.3	19.1	-3.79	17.0	19.4	-2.43
Theo Ratliff	78	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.52	3	0	3	15.9	20.7	-4.83	17.1	22.0	-4.86
George Lynch	63	64	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.51	-1	4	-5	15.2	19.5	-4.34	17.9	16.7	1.18
Allen Iverson	75	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	-3	9	16.7	13.1	3.61	18.0	15.0	3.03
Eric Snow	66	66	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.21	5	-2	7	17.2	13.0	4.23	18.4	14.7	3.76
Kevin Ollie	5	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	9	-15	17.6	16.2	1.40	10.5	18.1	-7.64
Matt Geiger	33	33	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.04	-9	12	-21	19.5	14.3	5.19	19.0	16.7	2.29

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	30	31	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.01	9	-12	21	18.3	17.2	1.13	17.4	15.7	1.69
Rod Strickland	34	34	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.01	7	-10	17	18.9	16.7	2.14	17.5	15.5	2.03
Ike Austin	32	32	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-4	5	18.7	16.9	1.74	17.3	15.7	1.60
Aaron Williams	33	31	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-1	-1	16.8	18.1	-1.28	18.0	15.3	2.65
Richard Hamilton	16	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	1	-5	18.3	17.4	0.88	16.9	16.1	0.75
Mitch Richmond	69	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-4	5	17.4	18.3	-0.88	16.1	16.9	-0.75
Gerard King	43	44	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	0	-3	18.3	16.8	1.52	16.0	16.6	-0.59
Tracy Murray	61	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	3	-9	16.9	19.5	-2.59	15.1	19.2	-4.08
Juwan Howard	56	57	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.43	-8	5	-13	17.3	18.2	-0.97	15.7	17.5	-1.76
Chris Whitney	51	51	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.42	-10	7	-17	16.7	18.9	-2.14	15.5	17.5	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.85,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 80, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.47,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.74,0	92.4%
PHI 96, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.54,0.77,0.72,0	92.1%
DEN 99, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.53,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0	92.0%