NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	7.3 [372]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (PHI): +44.0%
Detroit Pistons	91		Comeback	18.0 [13]		LVP	Allen Iverson (DET): -12.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.44	0.05	0.39	-0.00	6	67%	0.44	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.28	0.10	0.20	0.02	7	70%	0.30	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.10
Andre Miller	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.17	0.11	0.08	0.02	8	73%	0.19	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	53%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Willie Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.10	0.01	11	56%	-0.03	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.05

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.11	-0.02	10	67%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	15	59%	0.17	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.09	-0.01	13	43%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	64%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	7	44%	-0.04	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	14	50%	0.05	3	-0.18	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.7	31.3	17.6	25.3	2.6	40.0	144.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +11.8%

PHI +17.6%

PHI +8.5%

PHI +11.0%

PHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	18.4	15.5	112.9	107.1	106.4
season	15.5	16.9		105.3	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.9		106.2	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	15.2	16.1	15.0	15.5
DET	20.2	16.1	19.9	17.8	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	41	42	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.32	22	-17	39	13.8	17.1	-3.33	18.2	18.6	-0.41
Donyell Marshall	23	21	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.26	17	-12	29	16.2	15.2	0.95	20.6	17.7	2.88
Thaddeus Young	55	55	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-6	17	15.7	15.2	0.49	19.2	16.9	2.32
Andre Miller	64	63	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.53	-4	9	-13	15.9	14.1	1.78	18.0	19.7	-1.73
Andre Iguodala	66	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	9	-13	15.7	14.6	1.16	18.1	19.3	-1.24
Theo Ratliff	36	36	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	7	-9	13.7	16.8	-3.05	16.8	19.6	-2.72
Reggie Evans	21	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	6	-7	16.7	15.1	1.57	21.1	17.6	3.60
Samuel Dalembert	31	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.09	1	4	-3	16.0	15.2	0.87	19.6	17.7	1.86
Willie Green	40	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.21	4	1	3	15.0	15.9	-0.91	18.8	18.0	0.86
Royal Ivey	8	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	11	-17	17.5	15.3	2.23	12.4	18.9	-6.51
Marreese Speights	40	42	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.03	-13	18	-31	16.1	14.9	1.17	17.3	19.5	-2.20

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	29	30	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.00	9	-14	23	16.8	19.2	-2.39	15.3	15.6	-0.33
Kwame Brown	34	33	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.04	7	-12	19	20.3	17.1	3.16	16.4	14.9	1.54
Allen Iverson	69	67	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.03	1	-6	7	19.3	14.3	5.04	16.4	12.0	4.42
Jason Maxiell	28	29	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-4	3	17.1	19.0	-1.93	15.8	15.3	0.52
Rodney Stuckey	47	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-3	1	17.1	20.0	-2.94	14.7	16.5	-1.73
Richard Hamilton	66	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-2	-1	17.7	20.9	-3.28	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Tayshaun Prince	61	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	0	-5	18.9	17.0	1.89	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Rasheed Wallace	58	58	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.32	-15	10	-25	19.3	16.5	2.76	15.4	15.6	-0.16
Arron Afflalo	33	35	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.37	-16	11	-27	17.8	18.8	-1.05	14.6	16.1	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.54,0.77,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 95, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.69,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.75,0.55,0.76,0.73,0	93.7%
HOU 122, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.84,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.58,0	92.4%
DET 96, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.58,0	92.2%