NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	95		Excitement	7.0 [334]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +39.8%
Washington Wizards	92		Comeback	17.9 [82]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -17.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.4	0.04	0.35	-0.00	12	62%	0.45	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Ivan Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	9	56%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	17	51%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.07	0.02	6	72%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	6	50%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	10	41%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.06	0.03	13	70%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Edwin Ubiles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	8	59%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	8	50%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	11	41%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13	-0.13	0.03	-0.17	-0.01	19	51%	-0.12	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	10	31%	-0.14	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	24.4	15.4	25.6	2.3	31.5	125.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +29.7%

ATL +3.3%

ATL +41.0%

WAS -23.5%

WAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	16.5	17.4	15.6	110.5	109.5	102.8
season	15.7	15.0		102.5	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.9		104.6	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	19.6	14.8	17.4	16.5
WAS	18.2	15.6	16.5	19.5	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	63	62	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.48	3	0	3	16.6	16.3	0.28	16.7	19.3	-2.62
Kirk Hinrich	55	53	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.61	-6	9	-15	18.1	13.8	4.28	17.5	17.1	0.45
Joe Johnson	53	51	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.53	-4	7	-11	17.5	14.8	2.70	16.9	18.2	-1.32
Zaza Pachulia	43	43	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	4	-5	17.6	15.4	2.19	17.7	17.0	0.74
Ivan Johnson	32	30	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	-5	13	14.6	17.7	-3.10	18.1	17.0	1.17
Jeff Teague	68	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	0	3	15.4	20.6	-5.11	17.2	18.1	-0.85
Marvin Williams	46	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	-5	13	15.0	18.2	-3.16	17.4	17.4	0.05
Willie Green	29	28	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	-3	9	14.3	17.6	-3.27	18.3	16.9	1.41
Vladimir Radmanovic	30	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.08	2	1	1	18.1	15.7	2.44	19.0	16.6	2.37
Jason Collins	11	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	7	-11	18.9	16.2	2.75	13.9	17.9	-4.00

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	20	22	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.10	8	-11	19	18.1	17.1	1.01	17.2	16.3	0.90
Shelvin Mack	31	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.13	-6	3	-9	18.4	16.8	1.65	15.3	17.2	-1.86
Kevin Seraphin	26	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	3	-9	17.8	17.2	0.67	14.6	17.4	-2.85
Jan Vesely	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	2	-7	16.4	17.8	-1.43	16.5	16.5	0.04
Edwin Ubiles	33	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	3	-9	19.1	16.3	2.77	15.7	17.0	-1.31
Nene	58	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-8	13	17.2	17.8	-0.67	17.4	14.6	2.85
Trevor Booker	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-3	3	17.9	16.2	1.70	17.1	15.4	1.66
John Wall	53	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.55	3	-6	9	16.8	18.4	-1.65	17.2	15.3	1.86
Chris Singleton	51	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.52	1	-4	5	16.3	19.1	-2.77	17.0	15.7	1.31
Jordan Crawford	65	66	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.42	-9	6	-15	17.1	18.5	-1.41	15.8	18.9	-3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.69,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.75,0.55,0.76,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.54,0.77,0.72,0	93.7%
HOU 122, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.84,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.58,0	92.0%
PHX 99, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.72,0	91.7%