NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	122		Excitement	8.3 [234]		MVP	Nick Young (GSW): +31.3%
Golden State Warriors	121		Comeback	17.4 [18]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -21.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.3	0.15	0.17	0.02	9	83%	0.33	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.06
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	9	78%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.10	0.01	9	44%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	10	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Eric Gordon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.01	16	60%	0.10	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	23	54%	0.10	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Paul	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	9	22%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.26	0.05	0.00	9	121%	0.33	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.02	-0.10	14	57%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	3	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.03	-0.02	3	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	15	57%	0.04	8	-0.18	5	80%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.21	-0.21	0.05	-0.26	-0.00	18	56%	0.01	2	-0.23	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.8	34.2	16.3	28.3	2.8	31.9	146.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -27.3%

HOU +9.1%

HOU +41.5%

HOU +23.7%

HOU +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	12.9	14.7	120.8	119.8	107.5
season	14.6	13.7		112.8	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.8		105.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	15.5	15.4	17.8	15.6
GSW	12.6	11.1	13.4	15.0	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	59	59	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.44	16	-15	31	15.1	16.4	-1.31	14.4	10.9	3.50
PJ Tucker	57	59	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.24	20	-19	39	15.3	16.0	-0.68	13.0	12.7	0.28
Luc Mbah a Moute	47	47	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	-3	7	15.3	15.9	-0.51	14.4	11.6	2.81
James Harden	76	77	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	0	1	15.8	15.0	0.82	12.5	14.1	-1.55
Trevor Ariza	81	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.70	-8	9	-17	15.7	15.1	0.64	13.0	12.6	0.42
Ryan Anderson	72	72	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.20	8	-7	15	15.6	15.6	0.09	12.4	14.2	-1.83
Chris Paul	72	71	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	0.02	-13	14	-27	15.8	15.1	0.76	12.3	14.3	-2.04
Clint Capela	41	40	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	0.20	-23	24	-47	16.1	15.3	0.77	11.4	13.9	-2.53

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	62	62	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.11	7	-8	15	12.0	14.3	-2.25	14.8	16.8	-2.01
Zaza Pachulia	23	24	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.08	8	-9	17	11.7	13.3	-1.56	15.0	15.8	-0.75
Jordan Bell	25	25	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.16	-2	1	-3	14.2	12.5	1.67	14.1	16.1	-1.99
David West	19	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-1	1	14.9	12.4	2.46	16.0	15.5	0.48
Nick Young	54	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.20	-8	7	-15	13.5	12.3	1.21	15.0	16.3	-1.28
Omri Casspi	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	3	-7	14.2	12.8	1.45	13.6	15.8	-2.26
Kevon Looney	15	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	6	-13	12.9	12.9	-0.04	18.1	15.2	2.85
Kevin Durant	80	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.66	11	-12	23	12.4	14.7	-2.23	16.3	12.8	3.45
Klay Thompson	81	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.44	0	-1	1	12.5	14.3	-1.81	15.4	16.3	-0.91
Stephen Curry	62	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.68	7	-8	15	12.4	13.7	-1.25	16.9	13.7	3.25
Patrick McCaw	40	39	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.38	-9	8	-17	13.0	12.8	0.16	14.9	16.0	-1.08
Shaun Livingston	35	37	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.65	-8	7	-15	14.7	12.0	2.73	16.0	15.4	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.84,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.54,0.77,0.72,0	92.4%
DEN 106, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.73,0	92.2%
UTA 112, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.77,0.72,0	92.1%