NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	106		Excitement	8.7 [135]		MVP	Linas Kleiza (DEN): +78.8%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	26.2 [27]		LVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): -22.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0.79	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.79	0.03	0.76	-0.00	12	50%	0.79	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	78%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	21	60%	0.20	6	-0.15	8	100%	0.04
Eduardo Najera	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Yakhouba Diawara	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	21%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12,-0.12	0.01	-0.13	0.00	13	61%	0.10	4	-0.22	5	60%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.23	-0.04	-0.20	-0.01	21	43%	-0.16	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	16	65%	0.20	4	-0.11	5	40%	-0.03
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.03	12	46%	0.11	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.06
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	14	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.02	17	38%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.03,-0.15	-0.15	0.03	-0.19	-0.02	14	59%	-0.01	4	-0.13	9	56%	-0.22

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	34.4	15.5	26.3	3.4	39.2	147.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +40.3%

DEN +23.9%

DEN +1.8%

SAC -16.5%

DEN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAC	NBA	DEN	SAC	NBA
this game	12.3	14.5	15.4	98.1	98.1	105.7
season	13.3	14.9		108.2	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.0	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.3	13.0	10.3	12.7	12.3
SAC	13.4	14.7	15.4	14.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	41	41	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-7	15	12.7	12.0	0.69	13.6	15.1	-1.56
Linas Kleiza	58	58	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-10	21	12.7	11.7	1.00	14.9	14.1	0.81
Allen Iverson	99	97	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.54	-1	2	-3	12.3	11.7	0.67	14.1	18.7	-4.61
Marcus Camby	84	84	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.56	-2	3	-5	12.1	12.8	-0.71	14.7	14.0	0.72
Carmelo Anthony	95	93	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.50	0	1	-1	12.2	12.9	-0.73	14.7	13.4	1.34
Eduardo Najera	58	59	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	-6	13	11.6	13.1	-1.57	14.8	14.2	0.65
Anthony Carter	44	43	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.22	-6	7	-13	12.0	12.5	-0.43	15.1	14.1	0.99
Chucky Atkins	45	45	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.17	0	1	-1	12.6	12.1	0.51	14.9	14.3	0.63
Yakhouba Diawara	16	15	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.14	-12	13	-25	13.0	12.2	0.85	12.6	14.8	-2.24

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	64	66	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.16	1	-2	3	14.3	14.9	-0.60	11.6	13.3	-1.65
Beno Udrih	84	86	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-6	11	14.8	13.3	1.50	12.6	10.9	1.72
Quincy Douby	22	22	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-3	5	14.9	14.4	0.43	13.4	12.0	1.36
Spencer Hawes	22	23	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-4	7	13.6	14.8	-1.17	12.7	12.2	0.48
Metta World Peace	99	100	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.61	6	-7	13	14.2	18.5	-4.30	12.5	9.6	2.87
Dahntay Jones	11	8	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	0	-1	10.4	15.0	-4.64	11.9	12.3	-0.44
Brad Miller	85	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	3	-7	14.8	13.6	1.17	12.2	12.7	-0.48
Francisco Garcia	62	62	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.57	-3	2	-5	15.1	13.8	1.29	12.4	12.2	0.18
John Salmons	86	88	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.36	-14	13	-27	14.8	13.3	1.48	11.9	14.0	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 112, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.77,0.72,0	93.4%
BKN 117, ORL 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.77,0.74,0	92.9%
MIN 102, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.77,0.63,0	92.8%