NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	117		Excitement	8.3 [271]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN): +50.4%
Orlando Magic	115		Comeback	18.2 [89]		LVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): -18.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.5	0.08	0.43	0.01	11	69%	0.60	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.4	0.32	0.18	0.09	25	80%	0.53	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Treveon Graham	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	35%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	9	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	13	42%	-0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.02	0.01	13	82%	0.20	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.01	10	57%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.07
D.J. Augustin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	77%	0.16	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Briscoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	20	39%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	86%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	10	41%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.16	0.00	16	46%	-0.13	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	23.5	14.8	28.6	2.4	34.0	128.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +44.5%

BKN +6.7%

ORL -0.3%

ORL -1.0%

BKN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ORL	NBA	BKN	ORL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	14.3	117.0	115.0	109.3
season	14.3	14.9		108.6	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.0		107.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.0	14.0	14.1	14.2	14.1
ORL	12.6	16.0	14.7	15.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	64	64	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.51	10	-8	18	13.5	15.1	-1.60	14.4	15.2	-0.84
Jarrett Allen	57	56	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.53	5	-3	8	12.9	15.7	-2.74	14.5	15.0	-0.52
Joe Harris	63	63	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.45	6	-4	10	13.0	15.9	-2.86	14.9	14.5	0.40
Spencer Dinwiddie	55	55	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	-2	6	13.1	15.3	-2.18	15.9	13.3	2.58
D'Angelo Russell	68	71	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-8	18	14.3	13.7	0.59	15.0	14.0	0.95
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	30	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	6	-10	13.8	14.2	-0.41	14.2	14.9	-0.69
Shabazz Napier	37	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	6	-10	15.9	13.0	2.86	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Treveon Graham	59	59	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.14	-1	3	-4	14.4	13.6	0.77	14.4	15.2	-0.78
Ed Davis	43	44	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.09	-3	5	-8	15.7	12.9	2.74	15.0	14.5	0.52
Rodions Kurucs	24	23	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.14	-13	15	-28	16.9	13.2	3.72	13.3	15.1	-1.77

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	65	65	0.40	-0.90	1.31	-0.01	14	-16	30	13.3	17.3	-4.05	15.0	12.5	2.51
Mo Bamba	29	30	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.05	11	-13	24	13.0	15.4	-2.36	16.8	12.9	3.92
Isaiah Briscoe	42	41	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.11	3	-5	8	14.1	15.2	-1.10	14.9	13.5	1.38
Wes Iwundu	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.11	-5	3	-8	16.1	14.2	1.99	12.9	14.5	-1.61
Evan Fournier	80	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.54	0	-2	2	14.5	15.7	-1.24	14.2	13.4	0.79
Terrence Ross	56	54	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	1	-4	15.4	13.9	1.47	14.8	13.3	1.45
D.J. Augustin	58	59	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.55	-5	3	-8	15.2	14.1	1.10	13.5	14.9	-1.38
Jonathan Isaac	71	71	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.40	-12	10	-22	15.2	13.5	1.73	13.1	16.6	-3.52
Nikola Vucevic	71	70	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.39	-13	11	-24	15.4	13.0	2.36	12.9	16.8	-3.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.77,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.73,0	92.9%
NYK 90, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.58,0	92.9%
CHA 111, BKN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.79,0.77,0.9,0	92.4%