NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	111		Excitement	6.1 [639]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +31.9%
Brooklyn Nets	105		Comeback	61.1 [21]		LVP	Caris LeVert (BKN): -14.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.32	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.32	-0.04	0.32	-0.03	25	39%	0.32	0	0.00	11	100%	0.07
Jeremy Lamb	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11	0.06	0.07	0.02	13	65%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.01	10	48%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	56%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.02,-0.06,-0.03	0.03	0.01	0.07	17	58%	0.07	6	-0.10	21	57%	-0.13
Dwayne Bacon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	0.00	17	50%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	7	76%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	13	43%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	14	32%	-0.07	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.00	-0.17	-0.03	15	45%	-0.10	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.6	28.4	14.6	30.5	2.5	40.4	144.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +15.1%

CHA +10.7%

CHA +26.5%

CHA +1.6%

BKN -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BKN	NBA	CHA	BKN	NBA
this game	13.5	14.5	14.7	107.8	101.9	107.5
season	14.6	14.7		108.7	105.8
opponent	14.1	14.5		109.4	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.4	15.1	14.4	11.2	13.5
BKN	15.4	11.6	15.6	15.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	71	73	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-10	26	13.3	14.0	-0.67	14.8	13.6	1.26
Kemba Walker	79	81	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-7	20	13.2	14.5	-1.24	14.8	13.2	1.62
Dwayne Bacon	61	60	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-2	10	13.0	14.2	-1.12	14.6	14.2	0.46
Jeremy Lamb	65	66	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-5	16	14.0	12.6	1.47	15.5	12.6	2.86
Frank Kaminsky	54	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	2	2	13.4	13.6	-0.24	15.6	13.2	2.36
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	47	48	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	4	-2	13.2	13.8	-0.58	13.2	15.5	-2.26
Marvin Williams	49	50	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	4	-2	13.6	13.4	0.24	13.2	15.6	-2.36
Malik Monk	38	36	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	10	-14	13.8	13.3	0.45	13.7	14.8	-1.09
Treveon Graham	19	18	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.12	-12	18	-30	14.5	13.3	1.25	13.1	14.7	-1.63
Willy Hernangomez	32	30	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	16	-26	14.0	13.3	0.67	13.6	14.8	-1.26

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Harris	50	50	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.18	5	-11	16	15.0	14.0	1.02	13.9	13.1	0.81
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	63	64	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.26	-2	-4	2	15.0	13.6	1.44	13.8	13.0	0.85
Jarrett Allen	53	55	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.44	-11	5	-16	15.4	13.4	2.01	13.8	13.1	0.71
Spencer Dinwiddie	53	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-4	2	13.4	15.6	-2.14	14.3	12.7	1.56
D'Angelo Russell	60	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	1	-8	14.3	14.7	-0.37	13.3	13.9	-0.58
Quincy Acy	50	48	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.77	5	-11	16	13.4	15.4	-2.01	13.1	13.8	-0.71
DeMarre Carroll	66	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.64	-1	-5	4	14.5	14.5	-0.00	13.2	14.1	-0.95
Caris LeVert	58	58	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.40	-9	3	-12	14.9	13.8	1.09	13.1	14.1	-1.00
Allen Crabbe	62	62	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.46	-8	2	-10	14.1	15.0	-0.98	13.2	14.0	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.79,0.77,0.9,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 117, ORL 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.77,0.74,0	92.4%
DEN 95, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.87,0.72,0	91.6%
LAC 135, GSW 131	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.88,0.67,0.81,0.72,0.8,0.58,0	90.6%