NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	6.9 [344]		MVP	Jeremy Lin (NYK): +32.9%
Toronto Raptors	87		Comeback	38.1 [41]		LVP	Iman Shumpert (NYK): -18.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.3,-0.05,0.33	-0.08	0.42	0.01	20	53%	0.54	8	-0.21	11	64%	-0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.03	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	22	43%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	5	81%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Mike Bibby	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	9	38%	-0.13	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	17	74%	0.19	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	13	47%	0.08	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.06
James Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	6	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	13	45%	-0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.8	31.1	18.4	27.5	2.7	35.9	144.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -4.6%

NYK +19.6%

NYK +28.2%

NYK +7.5%

TOR -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	15.2	16.6	15.6	101.1	94.6	102.8
season	14.9	16.5		102.3	98.9
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.9	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	15.5	16.6	13.4	15.2
TOR	17.8	13.9	19.2	16.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	53	58	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.54	2	1	1	15.3	15.0	0.26	15.8	18.0	-2.24
Iman Shumpert	52	53	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.56	1	2	-1	14.7	15.8	-1.03	16.3	17.1	-0.84
Jeremy Lin	80	84	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.46	4	-1	5	15.5	12.4	3.04	16.4	19.4	-3.02
Landry Fields	68	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	0	3	16.1	12.3	3.79	16.6	16.6	0.07
Amar'e Stoudemire	62	66	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.50	0	3	-3	15.9	13.6	2.33	15.9	18.5	-2.62
Steve Novak	35	36	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.25	10	-7	17	14.1	15.9	-1.85	17.8	15.9	1.95
Mike Bibby	4	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	4	-5	13.7	15.2	-1.50	20.0	16.5	3.53
Jared Jeffries	36	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	6	-9	14.5	15.6	-1.09	16.9	16.4	0.50
Henry Walker	55	57	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.15	-1	4	-5	14.4	16.5	-2.09	17.8	14.6	3.21

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	38	37	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-7	11	17.8	15.8	1.95	14.4	15.7	-1.37
James Johnson	32	31	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.06	9	-12	21	17.3	16.3	1.01	16.2	14.6	1.61
Anthony Carter	19	18	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-7	11	16.1	16.8	-0.65	13.2	15.7	-2.45
Aaron Gray	24	21	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-6	9	17.3	16.4	0.97	16.9	14.7	2.20
Rasual Butler	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-3	3	0.0	16.6	-16.62	0.0	15.4	-15.35
DeMar DeRozan	80	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	1	-5	16.5	17.1	-0.53	15.3	14.7	0.59
Jose Calderon	73	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	4	-11	16.8	16.1	0.65	15.7	13.2	2.45
Leandro Barbosa	60	60	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.38	-8	5	-13	16.2	17.3	-1.11	14.7	16.2	-1.57
Amir Johnson	62	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.52	-4	1	-5	16.0	17.9	-1.85	15.6	14.3	1.29
Linas Kleiza	72	69	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.32	-12	9	-21	16.4	17.4	-1.00	14.8	16.3	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 86, MIN 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.82,0.72,0.58,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.58,0	93.3%
DEN 84, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.73,0	93.2%
UTA 112, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.77,0.72,0	93.1%