NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	86		Excitement	7.3 [384]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +30.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Comeback	47.3 [13]		LVP	Marko Jaric (MIN): -37.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.31	0.02	0.30	0.01	11	56%	0.35	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19	0.14	0.05	-0.01	27	61%	0.28	4	-0.08	10	80%	-0.07
Lee Nailon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.2	-0.02	-0.18	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.26	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,0.02,-0.27	-0.08	-0.19	-0.01	16	31%	-0.27	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.13	-0.02	11	58%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.02	16	51%	0.11	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.06	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	15	38%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.38	-0.38	-0.11	-0.30	-0.03	19	37%	-0.13	3	-0.25	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.0	32.2	17.6	23.6	2.6	40.3	143.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +7.1%

PHI +5.4%

PHI +44.4%

MIN -7.7%

PHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.6	96.6	92.3	104.4
season	15.2	16.1		104.1	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.3		103.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.9	15.0	16.9	14.8	15.6
MIN	16.1	12.7	17.4	20.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	50	51	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.60	3	-1	4	15.3	16.0	-0.68	16.7	15.9	0.80
Matt Barnes	33	33	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-7	16	14.5	16.3	-1.80	17.4	15.8	1.60
Andre Iguodala	73	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	1	0	15.9	14.3	1.59	15.7	19.4	-3.66
Allen Iverson	83	85	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.50	-1	3	-4	15.6	15.7	-0.05	16.5	14.8	1.65
Chris Webber	72	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.52	-5	7	-12	15.8	14.6	1.20	16.5	15.7	0.81
Kyle Korver	43	44	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	-6	14	15.7	15.5	0.15	15.8	16.9	-1.12
Steven Hunter	22	22	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	-4	10	14.1	16.1	-2.03	15.6	16.6	-1.03
Lee Nailon	15	17	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.17	7	-5	12	15.9	15.6	0.38	19.8	15.6	4.24
Kevin Ollie	9	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	1	0	17.7	15.4	2.28	12.1	16.9	-4.80
Michael Bradley	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	2	-2	16.7	15.6	1.19	16.0	16.4	-0.39
John Salmons	41	42	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	0.07	-19	21	-40	16.0	15.2	0.80	16.5	16.2	0.28

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	11	9	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.06	7	-9	16	10.3	17.2	-6.94	16.0	15.6	0.42
Rashad McCants	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	0	-2	14.2	16.7	-2.49	15.0	15.7	-0.71
Anthony Carter	38	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	6	-14	14.8	17.5	-2.72	14.8	16.2	-1.42
Mark Madsen	7	6	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	7	-16	16.0	16.4	-0.40	8.5	16.1	-7.63
Eddie Griffin	70	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.39	2	-4	6	17.0	14.3	2.71	16.0	14.4	1.51
Trenton Hassell	71	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.61	9	-11	20	17.1	13.7	3.43	16.5	12.4	4.09
Kevin Garnett	74	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.55	6	-8	14	16.5	16.0	0.46	15.9	14.3	1.64
Marko Jaric	91	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.43	-2	0	-2	16.4	0.0	16.37	15.7	12.0	3.66
Wally Szczerbiak	82	81	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.35	-13	11	-24	17.0	10.8	6.21	15.2	20.0	-4.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.82,0.72,0.58,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.58,0	93.3%
DEN 84, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.73,0	91.8%
DET 96, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.58,0	91.5%