NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	7.7 [289]		MVP	Matt Barnes (PHX): +43.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Comeback	20.2 [113]		LVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): -11.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.43	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.43	0.12	0.35	0.03	8	80%	0.45	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.08,0.22	-0.02	0.25	0.00	14	67%	0.37	7	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.00	13	79%	0.18	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Sean Singletary	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	10	55%	-0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.12	0.12	0.15	-0.04	-0.01	19	63%	0.12	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.09	-0.01	15	55%	0.20	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.07	0.10	-0.02	12	45%	0.13	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Damien Wilkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	11	42%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.1	-0.10	0.06	-0.16	0.00	11	58%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	28.2	15.8	28.8	0.7	32.3	132.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +89.7%

OKC -18.6%

OKC -30.9%

PHX +0.1%

PHX +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	OKC	NBA	PHX	OKC	NBA
this game	13.6	17.7	15.5	106.5	107.7	106.4
season	14.1	14.9		112.1	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	13.6	13.5	13.9	13.6
OKC	14.8	17.1	19.2	20.4	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	70	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.46	11	-10	21	13.6	13.5	0.16	17.9	17.2	0.72
Matt Barnes	60	58	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.63	5	-4	9	13.3	14.1	-0.80	17.0	19.1	-2.16
Grant Hill	38	37	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.59	3	-2	5	13.1	13.9	-0.84	19.1	16.9	2.20
Steve Nash	82	81	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.48	3	-2	5	13.4	14.9	-1.48	18.0	15.9	2.08
Raja Bell	69	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.51	-3	4	-7	14.1	12.2	1.82	17.3	18.9	-1.62
Leandro Barbosa	24	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	-3	7	12.2	14.1	-1.82	18.9	17.3	1.62
Sean Singletary	11	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.00	-2	3	-5	14.9	13.4	1.48	15.9	18.0	-2.08
Lou Amundson	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	5	-9	12.4	13.7	-1.34	17.5	17.8	-0.27
Robin Lopez	51	49	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.04	-8	9	-17	14.3	12.8	1.45	16.1	19.7	-3.65
Boris Diaw	52	51	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.24	-4	5	-9	13.8	13.4	0.42	19.1	16.0	3.12

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	44	47	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.03	4	-5	9	16.0	19.4	-3.47	13.1	14.1	-1.00
Damien Wilkins	52	53	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-4	7	16.7	19.2	-2.51	13.5	13.7	-0.26
Joe Smith	32	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	9	-19	19.5	16.8	2.66	11.6	14.6	-3.01
Russell Westbrook	57	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.55	4	-5	9	18.7	16.1	2.55	13.6	13.7	-0.13
Jeff Green	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.59	5	-6	11	17.2	19.7	-2.56	14.1	11.9	2.22
Kevin Durant	83	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	0	-1	17.7	18.4	-0.69	14.0	9.7	4.21
Chris Wilcox	44	44	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.51	-1	0	-1	19.3	16.3	3.09	14.0	13.2	0.80
Earl Watson	73	75	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.42	-9	8	-17	17.8	17.7	0.10	13.7	13.1	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 112, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.89,0.67,0.67,0.84,0.94,0.95,0	93.3%
PHI 96, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.54,0.77,0.72,0	92.0%
DET 96, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.58,0	91.8%