inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 112 Excitement7.4 [337] MVPKareem Rush (LAL): +60.4%
Denver Nuggets 111 Comeback58.9 [15] LVPAndre Miller (DEN): -32.5%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kareem Rush0.600,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.60.050.56-0.00580%0.631-0.0300%0.00
Gary Payton0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.020.011164%0.0900.0000%0.00
Bryon Russell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.00862%0.0600.0000%0.00
Luke Walton0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03-0.000.030.001100%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Kobe Bryant0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.020.09-0.040.032661%0.103-0.085100%0.02
Horace Grant0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00260%0.0100.001100%0.00
Slava Medvedenko-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.01862%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Brian Cook-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Devean George-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rick Fox-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01743%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.03-0.01633%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.05-0.021055%0.014-0.12967%-0.05

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.02470%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Marcus Camby0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00667%0.061-0.03367%-0.00
Rodney White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.010.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.010.010.02-0.01-0.002564%0.197-0.185100%0.03
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00275%0.031-0.024100%0.03
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00844%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Nene0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00562%0.012-0.04633%-0.05
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00757%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00450%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.02,0,-0.33-0.33-0.05-0.270.011457%-0.224-0.10956%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.526.216.327.52.534.3134.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +71.6%
DEN -12.9%
DEN -24.6%
LAL +8.9%
LAL +7.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game14.614.015.7110.9111.0100.5
season15.414.9102.8101.6
opponent15.415.6101.199.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL14.815.114.514.114.6
DEN14.012.013.217.214.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Walton33330.88-0.381.260.5013-122513.715.1-1.4415.413.32.10
Kareem Rush29290.82-0.321.150.598-71514.914.50.3216.313.13.27
Gary Payton71700.72-0.220.930.488-71514.714.60.1013.615.0-1.45
Shaquille O'Neal75760.63-0.130.760.543-2515.113.31.8414.213.30.90
Kobe Bryant90880.60-0.100.710.465-4914.218.0-3.7813.517.9-4.43
Devean George99-0.060.56-0.620.03-34-714.114.7-0.5712.114.2-2.10
Slava Medvedenko2830-0.080.58-0.66-0.0801-116.114.12.0914.313.90.45
Bryon Russell3332-0.170.67-0.84-0.05-45-914.614.7-0.0912.114.9-2.88
Brian Cook3231-0.180.68-0.86-0.03-56-1114.714.60.1213.014.5-1.48
Derek Fisher3030-0.220.72-0.93-0.01-78-1514.614.7-0.1015.013.61.45
Horace Grant3330-0.220.72-0.94-0.02-78-1513.615.1-1.5312.714.6-1.93
Rick Fox4242-0.230.73-0.96-0.06-67-1315.214.30.9115.413.02.43

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Barry29300.25-0.750.990.105-61115.413.51.9114.314.8-0.52
Marcus Camby52510.23-0.730.970.124-5915.013.02.0416.113.22.92
Rodney White15180.16-0.660.81-0.026-71315.513.81.7814.714.60.04
Chris Andersen31310.15-0.650.810.073-4713.814.1-0.3614.014.9-0.87
Earl Boykins37380.12-0.620.750.062-3514.413.80.5314.414.8-0.34
Nene7474-0.540.04-0.58-0.540-1114.113.90.1314.914.00.81
Andre Miller7271-0.600.10-0.70-0.54-21-313.615.1-1.4614.914.00.85
Carmelo Anthony8583-0.660.16-0.81-0.45-76-1313.815.5-1.7814.614.7-0.04
Voshon Lenard6264-0.740.24-0.98-0.59-54-913.714.6-0.9414.415.0-0.58
Michael Doleac4345-0.880.38-1.26-0.56-1110-2113.014.8-1.8713.415.6-2.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.89,0.67,0.67,0.84,0.94,0.95,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 99, OKC 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.72,093.3%
SEA 106, UTA 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.91,091.9%
BOS 103, IND 1000.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.78,0.73,091.3%