NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	106		Excitement	5.8 [676]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +38.9%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	97.0 [4]		LVP	Derek Fisher (UTA): -24.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.39	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.39	0.23	0.29	0.13	19	78%	0.48	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.03
Mickael Gelabale	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2	0.09	0.12	0.00	4	90%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Collison	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	8	54%	0.08	0	0.00	10	60%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	13	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	80%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Andre Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.13	-0.01	14	57%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.02	17	65%	0.19	5	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	53%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	6	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.13	-0.02	6	77%	0.09	3	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.09,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.12	-0.01	8	62%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.24	-0.24	-0.05	-0.16	0.03	11	41%	-0.21	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.0	25.8	15.5	23.2	2.0	36.1	129.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +47.0%

SEA +12.6%

UTA -24.0%

SEA +16.0%

UTA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	17.2	15.4	119.1	115.7	104.5
season	15.4	15.9		105.5	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.4		104.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.1	16.4	16.6	12.7	15.2
UTA	15.5	19.6	14.1	20.0	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Gelabale	42	42	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.19	25	-22	47	13.9	16.4	-2.55	19.2	15.3	3.94
Mike Wilks	47	48	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.39	15	-12	27	14.5	16.0	-1.56	19.0	15.0	4.05
Nick Collison	62	62	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.40	11	-8	19	15.2	15.2	-0.03	17.1	17.2	-0.09
Rashard Lewis	82	82	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-5	13	15.1	16.4	-1.33	16.9	20.3	-3.40
Earl Watson	81	81	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-5	13	14.9	18.1	-3.21	16.9	19.7	-2.85
Andre Brown	21	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	10	-17	15.3	15.2	0.11	15.3	17.7	-2.33
Chris Wilcox	39	38	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.02	-10	13	-23	16.6	14.1	2.56	16.5	17.7	-1.19
Johan Petro	34	35	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.04	-13	16	-29	15.1	15.3	-0.14	17.7	16.8	0.82
Damien Wilkins	37	37	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	0.16	-22	25	-47	17.1	13.9	3.17	14.8	18.8	-4.06

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	40	39	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.16	3	-6	9	19.0	15.6	3.39	14.8	15.5	-0.63
Paul Millsap	28	28	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.21	1	-4	5	20.8	15.5	5.29	15.4	15.1	0.23
Ronnie Brewer	34	35	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.08	10	-13	23	14.4	18.9	-4.49	16.4	14.4	1.93
Jarron Collins	13	13	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-8	13	19.9	16.7	3.24	15.8	15.1	0.66
Rafael Araujo	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	2	-7	14.3	17.6	-3.29	14.4	15.3	-0.91
Deron Williams	77	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	2	-7	17.5	14.9	2.59	15.4	13.5	1.89
Mehmet Okur	65	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	0	-3	17.1	17.3	-0.24	15.2	15.1	0.11
Matt Harpring	55	54	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.34	-13	10	-23	18.9	14.4	4.49	14.4	16.4	-1.93
Derek Fisher	61	61	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.63	-4	1	-5	15.5	20.8	-5.29	15.1	15.4	-0.23
Carlos Boozer	61	61	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.63	-4	1	-5	15.5	20.8	-5.29	15.1	15.4	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.63,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.85,0.95,0	92.6%
LAL 112, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.89,0.67,0.67,0.84,0.94,0.95,0	91.9%
LAL 102, MEM 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.7,0.84,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.9,0.89,0.63,0.8,0.85,0	91.4%