inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 102 Excitement6.5 [541] MVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): +24.1%
Toronto Raptors 101 Comeback33.0 [21] LVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): -21.1%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.240,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.24,0.24-0.020.270.012245%0.281-0.043100%0.02
Tobias Harris0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.210.200.040.021380%0.2100.004100%0.02
Ish Smith0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.000.011062%0.091-0.04450%-0.02
Stanley Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.020.02961%0.0200.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00946%0.021-0.02683%0.01
Reggie Jackson-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.01543%-0.032-0.044100%0.02
Jon Leuer-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.01520%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.000.011036%-0.021-0.06850%-0.05

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.07-0.011453%0.131-0.02475%0.00
Lucas Nogueira0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.011100%0.0500.004100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.09,0.050.050.06-0.010.001068%0.102-0.05250%-0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.03-0.00968%0.091-0.05425%-0.04
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.01658%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.01362%0.0300.00250%-0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.02-0.03844%0.032-0.02250%-0.01
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.21-0.210.04-0.240.012153%-0.172-0.04786%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.31.827.014.527.12.431.6130.7
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +25.5%
DET +0.2%
DET +12.9%
DET +2.7%
DET +8.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETTORNBADETTORNBA
this game14.317.614.8112.1112.2107.7
season15.015.2105.0110.0
opponent14.915.1106.9106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.515.716.112.114.3
TOR15.315.620.919.217.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tobias Harris59581.10-0.601.710.3426-255113.615.6-2.0018.016.91.09
Ish Smith59581.10-0.601.710.3426-255113.615.6-2.0018.016.91.09
Marcus Morris61600.59-0.090.680.62-12-313.515.9-2.4417.617.50.17
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope76760.410.090.330.56-56-1114.512.91.6717.916.11.78
Andre Drummond51510.350.150.200.64-1011-2114.414.10.2918.017.10.88
Aron Baynes40390.150.35-0.20-0.1711-102114.114.4-0.2917.118.0-0.88
Stanley Johnson4544-0.000.50-0.51-0.248-71514.913.71.2417.018.1-1.09
Jon Leuer3232-0.601.10-1.710.13-2526-5115.613.62.0016.918.0-1.09
Reggie Jackson3232-0.601.10-1.710.13-2526-5115.613.62.0016.918.0-1.09

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jakob Poeltl34350.25-0.750.990.018-91718.217.20.9615.113.71.38
Norman Powell15150.05-0.550.600.021-2315.917.9-1.9716.313.92.48
Lucas Nogueira6061-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.14-43-717.318.1-0.7814.314.3-0.00
Cory Joseph3536-0.28-0.22-0.060.22-1716-3317.717.50.1314.214.3-0.07
Jonas Valanciunas6465-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.6610-112117.418.0-0.6514.114.6-0.49
DeMar DeRozan7171-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.586-71317.717.20.4713.716.1-2.35
Terrence Ross3435-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.25-65-1116.918.0-1.1214.714.00.78
Kyle Lowry6868-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.512-3517.916.51.4914.513.70.82
DeMarre Carroll6969-0.610.11-0.73-0.47-54-917.916.61.3113.616.3-2.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.63,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.85,0.95,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 106, UTA 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.91,092.6%
SEA 91, SAS 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.97,0.78,0.92,091.2%
BOS 103, IND 1000.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.78,0.73,091.2%