NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	7.2 [355]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +48.2%
San Antonio Spurs	90		Comeback	49.0 [9]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (SAS): -35.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.48	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.48	-0.08	0.56	-0.00	8	31%	0.52	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15	-0.00	0.12	-0.03	21	53%	0.22	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02
Desmond Mason	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	15	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	13	36%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.14,-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	13	42%	-0.16	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.07	-0.05	15	58%	0.14	3	-0.04	8	50%	-0.05
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	75%	0.09	1	-0.01	10	100%	0.06
Steven Smith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	10	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	20	39%	-0.10	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.35	-0.35	-0.06	-0.29	0.01	7	56%	-0.26	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	28.6	17.5	25.3	2.6	34.4	134.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +65.4%

SAS -15.3%

SAS -13.5%

SEA +10.9%

SEA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAS	NBA	SEA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	15.5	98.9	97.8	101.6
season	16.5	15.7		101.7	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.6		96.9	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.4	16.8	16.0	16.5	15.9
SAS	14.4	13.9	13.4	21.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	67	66	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.46	12	-11	23	15.4	17.2	-1.79	15.7	14.8	0.94
Vladimir Radmanovic	39	40	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.41	10	-9	19	13.7	17.4	-3.72	14.5	16.2	-1.67
Brent Barry	47	49	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-3	7	16.4	15.3	1.12	15.7	15.1	0.62
Gary Payton	84	84	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-2	5	15.8	16.0	-0.15	15.7	13.2	2.40
Rashard Lewis	72	74	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.63	-15	16	-31	16.7	13.0	3.65	15.3	16.1	-0.76
Ansu Sesay	17	14	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	-4	9	14.5	16.2	-1.70	19.1	14.8	4.28
Calvin Booth	36	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	-1	3	15.2	16.2	-1.00	14.8	15.8	-1.04
Reggie Evans	20	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	4	-7	15.8	15.9	-0.01	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Kenny Anderson	14	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	6	-11	16.9	15.7	1.18	12.4	16.0	-3.56
Predrag Drobnjak	64	63	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.02	-8	9	-17	16.9	13.5	3.39	15.9	14.4	1.51

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	59	60	0.38	-0.88	1.26	-0.09	16	-17	33	15.2	15.9	-0.68	17.7	12.4	5.29
Steven Smith	50	50	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.12	11	-12	23	15.3	15.6	-0.23	17.0	14.5	2.50
Steve Kerr	7	6	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-3	5	13.4	15.6	-2.18	14.8	15.9	-1.10
Danny Ferry	16	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	0	-1	12.9	16.0	-3.11	15.3	16.0	-0.71
Manu Ginobili	23	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	2	-5	13.8	16.0	-2.22	14.9	16.2	-1.26
Bruce Bowen	61	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.32	7	-8	15	15.2	16.0	-0.79	16.3	15.1	1.22
Tony Parker	85	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	2	-5	15.6	13.4	2.18	15.9	14.8	1.10
Tim Duncan	82	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.44	-5	4	-9	15.9	11.5	4.43	16.0	14.9	1.07
Malik Rose	27	26	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.42	-12	11	-23	16.0	15.2	0.84	11.6	17.5	-5.91
Stephen Jackson	50	51	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.50	-17	16	-33	16.6	14.0	2.62	14.7	17.3	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.97,0.78,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.63,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.85,0.95,0	91.2%
SAC 98, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.91,0.72,0	91.1%
NJN 85, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.72,0	91.1%