NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	85		Excitement	8.2 [211]		MVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): +17.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	83		Comeback	23.6 [9]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -46.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.17	-0.01	0.20	0.02	20	55%	0.30	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.05	-0.08	0.00	8	61%	0.08	1	-0.11	2	50%	-0.04
Josh Boone	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.01	8	52%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	0.01	9	11%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.46	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.17,-0.19,-0.46	-0.12	-0.32	0.03	14	47%	-0.21	6	-0.25	8	37%	-0.18

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.00	3	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	12	38%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	-0.00	11	56%	0.01	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	10	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.15	-0.01	9	45%	-0.12	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21	-0.21	-0.01	-0.18	0.02	17	47%	-0.11	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.33	-0.33	-0.09	-0.24	-0.00	4	40%	-0.11	4	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	31.4	15.8	28.1	1.8	41.4	146.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +65.9%

PHI -22.3%

NJN +11.1%

PHI -5.1%

NJN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.5	95.5	93.3	106.4
season	16.0	15.5		106.5	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.5		105.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.4	16.8	18.3	12.7	15.8
PHI	15.2	16.7	16.0	18.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	74	72	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.46	9	-7	16	15.4	17.7	-2.29	16.2	18.2	-2.03
Keyon Dooling	52	53	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.52	2	0	2	15.8	15.7	0.15	16.3	17.1	-0.77
Jarvis Hayes	45	48	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.48	2	0	2	15.4	16.1	-0.69	16.8	16.3	0.52
Trenton Hassell	60	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.58	-4	6	-10	15.6	16.1	-0.45	16.1	17.6	-1.51
Brook Lopez	73	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	-3	8	15.2	18.5	-3.34	16.7	16.0	0.74
Bobby Simmons	21	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	-2	6	15.4	15.9	-0.50	16.4	16.7	-0.28
Chris Douglas-Roberts	14	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	-2	6	16.5	15.6	0.87	18.0	16.3	1.67
Ryan Anderson	44	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	2	-2	16.0	15.5	0.51	17.9	15.3	2.58
Josh Boone	16	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	5	-8	18.5	15.2	3.34	16.0	16.7	-0.74
Vince Carter	46	47	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.04	-9	11	-20	16.5	14.9	1.61	16.4	16.8	-0.41

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	11	11	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.02	8	-10	18	14.4	16.9	-2.55	15.8	15.8	0.06
Samuel Dalembert	29	29	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.06	5	-7	12	14.9	17.4	-2.57	16.3	15.5	0.76
Willie Green	33	33	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.05	3	-5	8	16.0	16.9	-0.95	16.8	15.1	1.72
Theo Ratliff	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-3	4	16.2	16.7	-0.47	18.7	15.3	3.38
Elton Brand	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	10	-22	20.3	14.7	5.54	16.0	15.6	0.36
Lou Williams	52	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	1	-4	17.2	15.7	1.48	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Royal Ivey	26	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	0	-2	16.7	16.6	0.14	15.9	15.7	0.23
Marreese Speights	30	30	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.50	-1	-1	0	17.5	16.2	1.31	14.7	16.3	-1.55
Andre Iguodala	76	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.56	1	-3	4	16.4	17.7	-1.28	16.1	13.8	2.25
Andre Miller	67	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.54	-2	0	-2	16.4	17.3	-0.90	15.2	17.4	-2.12
Thaddeus Young	80	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.40	-8	6	-14	16.1	21.3	-5.27	15.1	21.2	-6.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 100, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.77,0.73,0	91.7%
BOS 103, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.78,0.73,0	91.6%
DET 79, WAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.73,0	91.3%