NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	79		Excitement	9.2 [91]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): +58.2%
Washington Wizards	77		Comeback	15.2 [73]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -40.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.58	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,0.58	-0.01	0.60	0.01	20	53%	0.68	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.18	-0.02	0.19	-0.01	4	83%	0.30	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	69%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.00	2	62%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.18
Jason Maxiell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	-0.01	15	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Austin Daye	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	7	33%	-0.05	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	13	27%	-0.21	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.16,0.26	0.26	-0.08	0.34	-0.00	8	40%	0.34	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.08
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	16	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	46%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	10	39%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.10	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	8%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.41	-0.41	-0.08	-0.35	-0.02	17	40%	-0.22	3	-0.19	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.7	30.9	16.0	24.5	2.7	44.5	147.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +22.5%

WAS -2.2%

DET +26.8%

DET +4.7%

WAS -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	WAS	NBA	DET	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	16.3	15.6	86.8	84.6	102.8
season	16.3	15.0		99.5	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.4	13.5	17.3	16.8	15.4
WAS	15.0	15.3	16.2	19.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	72	70	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.53	4	-2	6	14.7	17.8	-3.15	15.7	18.1	-2.40
Jonas Jerebko	57	57	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.49	5	-3	8	15.1	15.9	-0.80	17.2	14.8	2.45
Brandon Knight	72	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.51	3	-1	4	14.4	18.8	-4.35	15.7	18.2	-2.50
Rodney Stuckey	62	63	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.52	-2	4	-6	17.2	11.4	5.78	17.0	14.8	2.18
Ben Wallace	44	42	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	-4	10	15.9	14.8	1.12	16.7	16.0	0.73
Greg Monroe	47	49	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.31	-4	6	-10	14.8	15.9	-1.12	16.0	16.7	-0.73
Ben Gordon	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	1	0	13.0	15.8	-2.78	13.4	16.8	-3.39
Austin Daye	7	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.10	2	0	2	22.3	14.8	7.51	20.0	15.9	4.06
Will Bynum	34	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.15	2	0	2	14.9	15.6	-0.75	17.4	15.6	1.73
Damien Wilkins	12	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	6	-10	15.2	15.4	-0.12	17.0	16.2	0.82
Jason Maxiell	34	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.05	-3	5	-8	15.9	15.1	0.80	14.8	17.2	-2.45

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	18	18	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-4	6	17.3	16.1	1.22	16.3	15.1	1.15
Jan Vesely	50	51	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.25	-5	3	-8	16.6	15.9	0.67	15.8	14.7	1.12
Brian Cook	26	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-4	6	16.1	16.4	-0.25	15.0	15.5	-0.45
Roger Mason Jr.	51	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	1	-4	17.3	15.0	2.27	14.1	17.0	-2.93
Jordan Crawford	73	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.49	4	-6	10	16.2	16.8	-0.60	16.0	13.0	2.97
Kevin Seraphin	52	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.42	1	-3	4	16.2	16.4	-0.15	14.8	16.0	-1.16
Chris Singleton	58	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	3	-8	15.6	17.6	-2.01	15.7	14.7	0.98
John Wall	73	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.49	-4	2	-6	16.1	17.3	-1.22	15.1	16.3	-1.15
Nene	54	53	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.57	-2	0	-2	16.2	16.5	-0.32	15.5	15.1	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 100, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.77,0.73,0	92.9%
TOR 103, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.72,0.55,0.84,0	92.6%
MIN 96, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.92,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.84,0	92.4%