NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	100		Excitement	7.5 [334]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +39.3%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	34.8 [6]		LVP	Rafer Alston (ORL): -11.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.35	0.10	0.26	0.01	5	110%	0.44	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.11	0.01	11	72%	0.25	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	4	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	87%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,0.05	-0.13	0.14	-0.04	23	42%	0.17	5	-0.12	2	0%	-0.22
Thaddeus Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	10	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Royal Ivey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	14	50%	0.08	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.39	0.39	0.20	0.21	0.02	13	82%	0.45	2	-0.06	12	75%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	8	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	17	51%	-0.00	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.09	0.00	11	54%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.12	-0.02	15	44%	-0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.6	27.3	22.3	32.5	3.5	36.9	154.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +86.2%

ORL -18.7%

PHI +0.5%

ORL -13.9%

ORL -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	16.5	15.5	112.4	111.4	106.4
season	15.5	15.3		105.3	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.9		101.4	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.8	17.1	15.7	14.6	16.1
ORL	14.5	18.0	15.0	18.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	46	44	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.42	17	-15	32	15.3	16.8	-1.49	16.6	16.3	0.32
Donyell Marshall	19	21	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.29	18	-16	34	14.2	16.6	-2.36	18.9	15.7	3.13
Lou Williams	55	55	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-9	20	15.8	16.5	-0.65	16.4	16.5	-0.11
Andre Iguodala	83	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-4	10	16.2	14.7	1.50	16.1	20.1	-4.01
Andre Miller	70	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.63	-9	11	-20	16.0	16.4	-0.45	16.8	15.2	1.61
Royal Ivey	26	25	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	-4	10	16.2	16.0	0.12	15.6	16.8	-1.28
Marreese Speights	11	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	7	-12	18.1	15.8	2.31	18.7	16.2	2.57
Reggie Evans	17	16	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	8	-14	16.9	15.9	1.01	16.5	16.5	0.03
Thaddeus Young	54	52	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.15	-11	13	-24	16.5	15.4	1.05	16.1	17.0	-0.93
Willie Green	32	32	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	9	-16	16.3	15.9	0.43	16.5	16.4	0.08
Samuel Dalembert	32	33	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.00	-10	12	-22	16.4	15.9	0.53	15.5	17.1	-1.54

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	24	27	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.04	10	-12	22	12.6	17.9	-5.35	16.8	15.7	1.07
Tony Battie	26	28	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.04	4	-6	10	14.3	17.4	-3.13	15.9	16.1	-0.20
Marcin Gortat	19	19	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.13	-2	0	-2	15.6	16.7	-1.08	16.3	16.0	0.32
Anthony Johnson	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	1	-4	15.7	16.8	-1.11	17.0	15.7	1.35
JJ Redick	12	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.19	-13	11	-24	14.5	16.8	-2.29	15.8	16.1	-0.26
Courtney Lee	76	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.59	9	-11	20	16.8	14.5	2.29	16.0	16.5	-0.51
Rafer Alston	63	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.53	1	-3	4	16.8	15.7	1.11	15.7	17.0	-1.35
Dwight Howard	69	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.57	0	-2	2	16.7	15.6	1.08	16.0	16.3	-0.32
Rashard Lewis	62	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.48	-6	4	-10	17.4	14.3	3.13	16.1	15.9	0.20
Hedo Turkoglu	64	63	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.45	-10	8	-18	17.9	12.6	5.35	15.9	16.5	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.77,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 79, WAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.73,0	92.9%
TOR 103, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.72,0.55,0.84,0	92.5%
PHX 104, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.58,0	92.0%