NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	103		Excitement	8.5 [105]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +36.2%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	26.6 [16]		LVP	John Wallace (TOR): -29.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.36	0.02	0.34	0.00	13	76%	0.50	6	-0.14	11	91%	0.09
Dee Brown	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	13	68%	0.30	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Stewart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Thomas	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	53%	0.01	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Charles Oakley	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	5	20%	-0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.29,-0.29	-0.05	-0.23	0.00	9	64%	-0.04	5	-0.26	4	50%	-0.06

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	14	61%	0.16	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	15	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	0.02	4	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.08	0.01	8	69%	0.22	6	-0.20	10	80%	0.01
Don Reid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Dumars	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.24	-0.24	-0.05	-0.20	-0.00	11	36%	-0.04	1	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.29	-0.29	-0.04	-0.19	0.07	9	55%	-0.23	3	-0.06	4	100%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.5	34.4	16.8	25.1	1.6	42.3	147.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +31.0%

DET -5.6%

TOR +30.2%

DET -9.8%

TOR +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	15.2	15.8	104.0	105.2	99.6
season	15.6	16.6		99.0	101.4
opponent	16.1	15.9		97.9	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.3	15.0	15.1	14.4	14.4
DET	12.9	15.0	17.0	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	82	80	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.50	8	-6	14	14.4	14.4	0.04	15.1	15.5	-0.40
Dee Brown	74	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-4	10	14.7	13.4	1.26	15.3	14.8	0.44
Doug Christie	66	64	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.50	0	2	-2	13.3	16.5	-3.20	14.5	16.5	-2.05
John Wallace	54	52	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.43	2	0	2	14.4	14.4	-0.07	15.8	14.4	1.36
Sean Marks	1	1	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.40	2	0	2	3.0	14.5	-11.50	11.0	15.2	-4.21
Reggie Slater	19	19	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	-1	4	15.1	14.2	0.83	13.8	15.5	-1.65
Charles Oakley	62	60	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	-1	4	13.9	15.2	-1.24	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Michael Stewart	24	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	-2	6	14.5	14.4	0.10	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Alvin Williams	25	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	6	-10	13.4	14.7	-1.26	14.8	15.3	-0.44
Tracy McGrady	51	48	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	6	-10	15.5	13.2	2.28	16.2	14.1	2.04
John Thomas	37	36	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.01	-10	12	-22	15.5	13.7	1.76	16.4	14.4	1.96

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	34	34	0.56	-1.06	1.61	0.35	7	-9	16	14.1	15.8	-1.67	15.7	13.7	2.06
Khalid Reeves	15	17	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.03	8	-10	18	12.0	15.8	-3.75	14.7	14.3	0.39
Eric Montross	7	6	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-6	10	13.6	15.3	-1.72	16.0	14.3	1.72
Loy Vaught	9	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-3	4	16.2	15.1	1.16	14.7	14.4	0.31
Don Reid	33	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-1	0	17.1	14.2	2.89	15.4	13.8	1.61
Christian Laettner	36	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	0	-2	15.8	14.8	0.98	13.3	15.1	-1.82
Bison Dele	70	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	6	-14	14.8	16.1	-1.25	14.4	14.4	-0.03
Jud Buechler	24	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-8	14	16.2	14.8	1.39	15.0	14.2	0.77
Jerry Stackhouse	55	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-2	2	14.6	15.9	-1.24	13.7	15.3	-1.53
Lindsey Hunter	76	76	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.46	-6	4	-10	16.0	12.0	3.94	14.5	14.0	0.44
Grant Hill	69	71	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.36	-12	10	-22	14.6	16.5	-1.88	14.3	14.7	-0.46
Joe Dumars	52	55	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.74	-7	5	-12	15.2	15.1	0.14	13.8	15.1	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.72,0.55,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 79, WAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.73,0	92.6%
PHI 100, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.77,0.73,0	92.5%
DEN 94, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.58,0	91.7%