inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 94 Excitement8.5 [196] MVPBostjan Nachbar (NOH): +15.9%
New Orleans Hornets 93 Comeback10.0 [79] LVPSpeedy Claxton (NOH): -34.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryon Russell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,0.06-0.000.06-0.00860%0.122-0.064100%0.03
Carmelo Anthony0.030,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.11,0,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03-0.030.060.002057%0.164-0.1314100%0.20
DerMarr Johnson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Earl Boykins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.010.010.00-0.001062%0.082-0.076100%0.04
Greg Buckner-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.150,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.10-0.040.00631%-0.102-0.06475%-0.01
Kenyon Martin-0.170,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.12-0.06-0.01950%-0.045-0.12667%-0.01
Andre Miller-0.170,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.06-0.110.011343%-0.132-0.052100%0.02

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.050.110.00392%0.191-0.03683%0.06
Casey Jacobsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.04-0.01871%0.142-0.055100%0.08
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.01856%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.01957%0.072-0.04367%-0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.020.01825%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
George Lynch0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.020.01520%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Lee Nailon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.13-0.030.00922%-0.083-0.0900%0.00
Jackson Vroman0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.10-0.070.01747%-0.014-0.17560%-0.04
Dan Dickau0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.01,-0.27-0.270.09-0.310.061569%-0.102-0.17250%-0.06
Speedy Claxton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.34-0.34-0.11-0.230.00538%-0.074-0.273100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.429.215.826.21.845.0147.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH -14.4%
DEN +23.9%
NOH -7.9%
DEN +50.8%
NOH -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENNOHNBADENNOHNBA
this game14.116.615.5100.098.9104.0
season14.816.5103.897.7
opponent15.715.6105.2102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.014.016.013.714.1
NOH14.717.318.316.316.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Camby76760.74-0.240.990.4211-102113.317.2-3.8816.317.6-1.24
Carmelo Anthony70710.57-0.070.650.2511-102114.014.5-0.5016.915.51.37
Andre Miller76750.56-0.060.620.502-1314.113.90.2416.815.41.42
Bryon Russell55560.52-0.020.530.4910113.714.6-0.8616.117.3-1.19
Earl Boykins58620.400.100.310.1110-91914.313.70.6816.816.10.65
DerMarr Johnson37340.150.35-0.210.29-56-1114.314.00.3116.416.6-0.27
Eduardo Najera29270.080.42-0.330.29-78-1514.413.90.5317.416.21.15
Francisco Elson1818-0.120.62-0.750.05-67-1314.214.10.1013.117.4-4.33
Greg Buckner1011-0.200.70-0.900.01-78-1513.314.2-0.8812.917.0-4.13
Kenyon Martin4140-0.200.70-0.90-0.05-56-1115.413.02.4018.415.23.17

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lee Nailon36360.28-0.781.050.077-81516.616.50.0515.413.32.07
Casey Jacobsen35360.20-0.700.910.036-71316.816.40.4415.013.51.53
J.R. Smith46450.09-0.590.680.003-4716.516.6-0.0213.614.5-0.85
George Lynch2526-0.06-0.440.370.05-43-716.016.7-0.7014.014.1-0.17
Jackson Vroman5655-0.09-0.410.330.03-43-715.717.9-2.2112.915.8-2.88
Chris Andersen5151-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.497-81516.516.7-0.2215.112.92.26
Speedy Claxton4645-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.471-2316.216.9-0.7414.513.70.86
Bostjan Nachbar4445-0.590.09-0.67-0.56-10-117.216.01.2713.614.5-0.85
P.J. Brown7069-0.770.27-1.03-0.53-87-1517.115.02.0913.914.5-0.54
Dan Dickau6162-0.840.34-1.17-0.48-1211-2316.716.30.3913.515.2-1.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 103, DET 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.72,0.55,0.84,091.7%
DET 79, WAS 770.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.73,091.7%
LAL 87, SAS 850.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.85,0.57,0.42,091.4%