NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Excitement	7.4 [333]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +25.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	46.9 [14]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -16.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,0.26	-0.00	0.30	0.04	17	60%	0.39	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.04
Sam Cassell	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.09,-0.04,0.07,0.22	0.00	0.23	0.01	22	51%	0.28	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Fred Hoiberg	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	4	80%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Latrell Sprewell	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	23	55%	0.13	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Gary Trent	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	7	43%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.05	-0.00	10	81%	0.08	4	-0.07	12	83%	0.02
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.03	13	64%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	64%	0.12	6	-0.16	4	75%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	10	50%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	15	36%	-0.10	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	29.5	16.3	24.6	2.5	34.2	131.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +69.7%

LAC -5.6%

LAC -24.7%

MIN +10.7%

LAC -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	15.7	102.1	97.9	100.5
season	15.6	15.5		103.2	101.3
opponent	15.4	16.1		106.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.9	16.2	14.2	13.9	15.0
LAC	14.1	14.5	15.2	17.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	69	71	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.49	11	-9	20	14.9	15.4	-0.54	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Kevin Garnett	76	78	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-9	20	14.7	16.5	-1.80	15.5	14.2	1.29
Sam Cassell	74	76	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.48	6	-4	10	14.8	15.8	-0.96	14.9	16.7	-1.87
Latrell Sprewell	77	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	-1	4	15.1	14.9	0.12	14.9	17.0	-2.10
Fred Hoiberg	44	46	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.64	-4	6	-10	15.1	15.0	0.05	15.9	14.7	1.19
Quincy Lewis	5	5	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	5	-8	17.0	14.9	2.07	14.4	15.3	-0.92
Keith McLeod	20	20	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	6	-10	15.8	14.8	0.96	16.7	14.9	1.87
Ervin Johnson	52	52	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.02	-9	11	-20	15.8	14.1	1.76	13.5	17.3	-3.78
Gary Trent	53	53	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.26	-1	3	-4	14.7	15.5	-0.75	17.0	13.2	3.78

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Overton	30	28	0.36	-0.86	1.22	-0.02	13	-15	28	17.1	14.4	2.71	15.1	15.0	0.14
Melvin Ely	9	8	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.06	9	-11	20	17.4	15.0	2.40	19.0	14.7	4.33
Predrag Drobnjak	28	28	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.16	12	-14	26	16.4	14.8	1.53	16.3	14.5	1.77
Chris Kaman	71	72	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.28	-9	7	-16	15.2	15.5	-0.34	14.5	16.9	-2.44
Keyon Dooling	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-2	2	0.0	15.4	-15.43	0.0	15.0	-15.04
Bobby Simmons	43	38	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	16.0	14.7	1.32	15.4	14.8	0.59
Corey Maggette	72	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.53	1	-3	4	15.0	16.1	-1.14	15.4	13.9	1.47
Quentin Richardson	83	81	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.42	-6	4	-10	15.1	16.5	-1.38	14.8	16.8	-2.00
Elton Brand	77	76	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.44	-13	11	-24	15.0	16.5	-1.57	14.5	17.3	-2.76
Marko Jaric	66	66	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.42	-15	13	-28	14.4	17.1	-2.71	15.0	15.1	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.92,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 79, WAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.73,0	92.4%
CHI 91, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.88,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.73,0	91.5%
TOR 103, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.72,0.55,0.84,0	91.0%