NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	6.4 [548]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (SAC): +37.5%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	107.7 [6]		LVP	Derek Fisher (UTA): -29.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.37	0.14	0.26	0.03	8	87%	0.45	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.03
Mike Bibby	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,0.11,0.11	-0.00	0.11	0.00	18	49%	0.16	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	22%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Ronnie Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	48%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Brad Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	11	45%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	12	39%	-0.11	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.01	13	61%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	7	65%	0.12	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	86%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	12	45%	-0.05	5	-0.10	7	57%	-0.05
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.17	-0.17	0.01	-0.19	-0.00	13	50%	-0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.29	-0.29	-0.06	-0.24	-0.01	8	44%	-0.14	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	28.5	15.7	26.2	1.5	32.6	135.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +40.7%

SAC +8.3%

UTA -6.4%

SAC +8.7%

UTA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	14.3	16.8	15.4	106.5	104.3	104.5
season	14.7	15.9		104.7	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.1		104.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.8	15.4	15.1	14.6	14.3
UTA	12.0	19.6	20.0	17.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	59	56	1.03	-0.53	1.57	0.42	21	-20	41	14.7	13.7	1.01	17.4	15.9	1.52
Kevin Martin	63	64	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.47	7	-6	13	13.6	15.9	-2.31	16.3	17.9	-1.53
Metta World Peace	60	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	1	-1	13.4	16.1	-2.73	16.9	16.6	0.28
Brad Miller	49	51	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.70	-8	9	-17	12.9	15.9	-2.99	15.9	17.9	-2.05
Mike Bibby	65	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.52	-4	5	-9	13.3	16.8	-3.54	15.7	19.8	-4.15
Corliss Williamson	36	35	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.20	14	-13	27	16.1	13.2	2.95	18.9	15.5	3.38
Ronnie Price	20	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-3	7	16.4	13.7	2.66	19.3	16.1	3.20
Jason Hart	7	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.06	1	0	1	18.0	14.0	3.99	15.2	16.9	-1.75
John Salmons	41	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	4	-7	16.0	13.0	3.00	17.5	16.3	1.18
Francisco Garcia	29	30	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	9	-17	14.9	14.1	0.80	16.8	16.8	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	31	31	-0.54	1.04	-1.58	0.02	-19	20	-39	14.4	14.3	0.06	15.9	17.3	-1.40

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	30	28	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-4	7	17.8	16.3	1.47	17.1	13.1	4.06
Matt Harpring	31	31	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-3	5	17.2	16.6	0.53	16.4	13.2	3.17
Dee Brown	10	10	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-3	5	19.0	16.5	2.46	16.5	14.0	2.45
Gordan Giricek	34	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	3	-7	16.7	16.8	-0.11	16.5	13.2	3.37
Paul Millsap	21	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.22	-12	11	-23	14.2	17.6	-3.38	15.6	14.0	1.64
Carlos Boozer	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.57	6	-7	13	17.4	14.3	3.07	13.9	16.1	-2.19
Deron Williams	75	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.46	-1	0	-1	16.0	20.0	-3.96	13.3	18.8	-5.46
Derek Fisher	67	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.56	1	-2	3	17.4	15.3	2.03	14.1	15.0	-0.87
Andrei Kirilenko	62	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.49	-3	2	-5	16.6	17.2	-0.53	13.2	16.4	-3.17
Mehmet Okur	59	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.60	1	-2	3	16.5	17.3	-0.82	13.0	16.7	-3.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.91,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 98, LAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.74,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.85,0.58,0	94.7%
UTA 94, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.73,0	91.1%
SEA 91, SAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.97,0.78,0.92,0	91.1%