inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 102 Excitement7.4 [318] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +44.9%
Memphis Grizzlies 101 Comeback249.0 [7] LVPRobert Horry (LAL): -16.9%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0.450,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.17,0.45-0.010.480.021562%0.585-0.134100%0.02
Jannero Pargo0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.020.06-0.01743%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.01-0.03437%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.01650%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.000.04762%-0.0000.0020%-0.02
Derek Fisher-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01740%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Devean George-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.010.02642%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.01,-0.050.00-0.030.022062%0.144-0.191354%-0.06
Kareem Rush-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.05-0.00750%-0.0500.00475%-0.00
Rick Fox-0.060,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00530%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Robert Horry-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.16-0.02-0.0060%-0.103-0.0700%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Person0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.02-0.001365%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Mike Batiste0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.02-0.01767%0.0800.004100%0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.000.01874%0.0800.003100%0.01
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.040.04-0.040.05-0.03744%0.061-0.024100%0.07
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01437%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14-0.14-0.04-0.13-0.031747%-0.062-0.09475%-0.03
Pau Gasol0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.15-0.15-0.02-0.130.001260%0.003-0.15667%-0.07
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.17-0.03-0.03828%-0.045-0.13250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.72.530.915.528.92.040.5141.0
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +33.2%
MEM -8.8%
LAL +23.4%
MEM -2.1%
LAL +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALMEMNBALALMEMNBA
this game15.116.415.5110.9111.0101.6
season15.415.3105.0101.8
opponent15.215.1105.1102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL17.016.315.811.415.1
MEM14.315.715.519.916.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kareem Rush29290.95-0.451.410.4318-173512.116.5-4.3218.415.42.98
Jannero Pargo45450.77-0.271.040.519-81713.716.4-2.7116.816.00.82
Shaquille O'Neal75760.57-0.070.640.5701-115.413.61.8515.819.1-3.29
Robert Horry39390.490.010.490.76-910-1915.914.51.3413.618.5-4.94
Kobe Bryant77760.450.050.400.83-1314-2715.811.34.5815.321.8-6.48
Mark Madsen2422-0.020.52-0.53-0.103-2514.615.3-0.6418.815.63.15
Brian Shaw2322-0.020.52-0.55-0.237-61312.815.9-3.0919.015.63.39
Slava Medvedenko2424-0.040.54-0.58-0.0401-115.614.90.6617.316.01.29
Devean George3030-0.120.62-0.74-0.337-61313.915.7-1.8318.415.43.01
Rick Fox4746-0.270.77-1.04-0.01-910-1916.413.72.7116.016.8-0.82
Derek Fisher4746-0.270.77-1.04-0.04-89-1716.413.72.7116.016.8-0.82

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Watson27280.21-0.710.930.017-81515.616.7-1.1315.415.00.37
Brevin Knight23240.06-0.560.630.12-21-315.916.5-0.6314.915.2-0.30
Mike Batiste27280.03-0.530.550.08-21-317.016.10.9314.815.2-0.40
Mike Miller88-0.03-0.470.440.00-10-116.716.30.4015.715.00.71
Stromile Swift5050-0.10-0.400.29-0.7823-244714.618.5-3.8715.614.51.14
Lorenzen Wright4849-0.37-0.13-0.250.27-2221-4318.214.33.9014.815.5-0.69
Pau Gasol7474-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.656-71315.719.5-3.7915.015.6-0.57
Shane Battier6667-0.540.04-0.58-0.34-76-1316.815.21.6915.115.10.02
Jason Williams6868-0.560.06-0.63-0.591-2316.515.90.6315.214.90.30
Wesley Person6464-0.710.21-0.93-0.48-87-1516.715.61.1315.015.4-0.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.7,0.84,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.9,0.89,0.63,0.8,0.85,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 82, MIA 800.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.84,092.3%
SEA 106, UTA 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.91,091.4%
BOS 103, IND 1000.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.78,0.73,091.0%