NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	82		Excitement	5.5 [437]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +30.4%
Miami Heat	80		Comeback	73.6 [2]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (MIA): -28.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.30	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.3	0.16	0.20	0.06	13	82%	0.33	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.2	0.09	0.11	0.01	10	71%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.04
Chris Childs	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01	-0.02	0.06	0.03	6	57%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.09
Chris Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	9	41%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	4	33%	-0.02	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Allan Houston	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.09	0.02	17	46%	-0.04	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.11	-0.04	12	50%	0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.02	10	90%	0.04
Keith Askins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.12	0.01	23	57%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.29	-0.29	-0.11	-0.17	0.01	13	38%	-0.10	3	-0.18	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.7	26.3	19.5	23.6	2.6	50.6	152.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +28.5%

NYK +33.3%

NYK +4.1%

MIA -12.5%

MIA -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	15.0	18.5	15.8	94.3	94.1	99.6
season	16.0	16.6		97.0	101.3
opponent	16.7	16.6		96.8	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	15.6	15.8	13.8	15.0
MIA	15.8	19.6	18.5	20.5	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	62	61	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-13	28	14.9	15.3	-0.43	19.7	15.6	4.03
Latrell Sprewell	62	62	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-12	26	14.5	16.2	-1.67	19.0	17.3	1.60
Marcus Camby	51	51	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-13	28	14.7	15.4	-0.69	19.2	17.6	1.60
Allan Houston	67	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.57	0	2	-2	14.7	16.1	-1.41	17.2	22.3	-5.07
Larry Johnson	58	56	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.65	-3	5	-8	15.3	14.4	0.95	18.7	18.2	0.47
Chris Dudley	23	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.22	-8	10	-18	14.5	15.2	-0.72	18.4	18.6	-0.21
Charlie Ward	49	49	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.03	-13	15	-28	16.1	13.7	2.40	18.9	18.0	0.90
Kurt Thomas	63	61	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.07	-10	12	-22	15.3	14.3	0.94	17.4	21.5	-4.10

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	30	29	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.14	1	-3	4	19.3	18.1	1.21	16.7	14.2	2.47
Keith Askins	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	0	-2	20.8	18.2	2.53	15.3	15.0	0.33
Terry Porter	38	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	8	-18	20.5	16.9	3.54	14.9	15.1	-0.21
P.J. Brown	73	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	0	-2	18.2	20.7	-2.50	15.0	15.2	-0.26
Tim Hardaway	67	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.56	3	-5	8	17.9	20.7	-2.73	15.4	13.7	1.64
Dan Majerle	70	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.59	3	-5	8	18.2	20.2	-2.04	14.7	16.9	-2.20
Jamal Mashburn	71	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.52	0	-2	2	18.1	20.7	-2.63	14.8	15.9	-1.03
Alonzo Mourning	67	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.52	-3	1	-4	18.6	18.4	0.16	14.6	16.8	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0	92.5%
LAL 102, MEM 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.7,0.84,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.9,0.89,0.63,0.8,0.85,0	92.3%
DET 96, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.58,0	91.8%