NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	5.4 [698]		MVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): +45.5%
Detroit Pistons	100		Comeback	262.2 [3]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): -16.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.45	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.45	0.05	0.44	0.04	23	58%	0.50	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
Dontae' Jones	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.18	0.10	0.12	0.04	4	112%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.03	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Tyus Edney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	16	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Hanson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	5	17%	-0.08	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.01	12	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	61%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	10	59%	0.07	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Rick Mahorn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Don Reid	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	13	42%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,-0.07	-0.07	0.08	-0.13	0.02	20	67%	0.17	4	-0.24	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	29.3	15.4	28.2	1.4	26.5	125.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +23.1%

DET -5.2%

DET -8.1%

BOS +26.7%

BOS +13.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	14.0	16.9	15.6	108.6	107.5	102.5
season	15.1	15.9		100.2	102.8
opponent	15.9	15.1		101.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.3	13.8	13.7	15.6	14.0
DET	16.1	16.2	16.8	18.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dontae' Jones	13	14	0.99	-0.49	1.49	0.44	19	-18	37	14.9	13.9	1.02	21.0	16.2	4.80
Travis Knight	28	28	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.53	12	-11	23	14.1	14.0	0.14	18.5	16.3	2.20
Dana Barros	43	43	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.57	5	-4	9	15.3	13.0	2.34	17.9	16.1	1.83
Antoine Walker	84	84	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.56	2	-1	3	13.8	16.3	-2.54	17.0	16.7	0.29
Ron Mercer	70	69	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.61	-2	3	-5	14.6	12.3	2.25	16.7	17.5	-0.78
Tyus Edney	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	0	1	12.6	14.1	-1.53	16.0	17.0	-0.98
Zan Tabak	23	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.24	7	-6	13	15.7	13.5	2.20	16.8	17.0	-0.12
Greg Minor	22	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	4	-7	12.5	14.5	-2.02	16.9	16.9	-0.08
Reggie Hanson	3	2	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	5	-9	18.7	13.9	4.78	9.0	17.1	-8.10
Kenny Anderson	46	47	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.04	-5	6	-11	12.8	15.3	-2.45	16.0	17.8	-1.83
Andrew DeClercq	49	48	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.08	-15	16	-31	13.5	14.6	-1.08	16.0	17.9	-1.82
Walter McCarty	79	78	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.10	-12	13	-25	13.8	15.1	-1.29	16.6	18.4	-1.76

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	49	50	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.02	9	-10	19	16.2	17.7	-1.57	13.4	14.8	-1.43
Don Reid	39	40	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.01	6	-7	13	16.5	17.2	-0.75	13.0	14.8	-1.74
Scot Pollard	16	17	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-1	1	15.4	17.2	-1.80	16.8	13.4	3.33
Malik Sealy	24	24	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.11	-1	0	-1	15.0	17.6	-2.59	15.1	13.7	1.46
Rick Mahorn	8	7	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-2	3	17.1	16.9	0.22	14.3	14.0	0.26
Joe Dumars	74	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.57	2	-3	5	17.5	14.8	2.62	13.9	14.6	-0.74
Bison Dele	69	69	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.57	-2	1	-3	17.2	16.0	1.25	13.3	16.0	-2.69
Lindsey Hunter	63	62	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.60	-1	0	-1	17.5	15.7	1.81	13.3	15.5	-2.16
Jerry Stackhouse	69	70	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.38	-9	8	-17	17.0	16.7	0.35	15.1	10.9	4.16
Jerome Williams	54	52	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.45	-10	9	-19	17.2	16.5	0.75	14.6	13.3	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 82, MIA 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.84,0	92.5%
HOU 86, DEN 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.98,1,0.98,0.93,0.87,0	92.0%
POR 108, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.85,0.97,0.85,0	91.8%