NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	6.5 [555]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +38.3%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	96.1 [7]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -28.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.38	0.05	0.33	-0.00	20	65%	0.47	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	17	65%	0.20	5	-0.12	9	89%	0.02
Noah Vonleh	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.09	0.01	0.07	7	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jake Layman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	0.05	17	42%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.08	0.02	15	69%	0.22	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	10	45%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	12	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	3	25%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.05,-0.28	-0.28	-0.00	-0.29	-0.01	24	50%	-0.21	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	23.4	14.6	26.2	2.6	36.3	127.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +47.0%

WAS -8.2%

POR +9.5%

WAS -5.0%

POR +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.4	14.7	109.1	107.1	107.5
season	15.2	14.8		107.8	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.3		107.9	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	17.4	15.4	12.1	14.8
WAS	14.6	13.3	14.0	15.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	70	71	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.37	16	-13	29	14.3	16.1	-1.74	14.2	14.8	-0.58
Noah Vonleh	66	67	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.36	16	-13	29	14.2	16.1	-1.83	14.3	14.7	-0.41
CJ McCollum	67	68	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.51	10	-7	17	15.0	14.5	0.45	14.3	14.6	-0.34
Damian Lillard	85	84	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.30	15	-12	27	14.2	18.9	-4.68	14.5	13.6	0.88
Pat Connaughton	77	76	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-9	21	14.4	16.5	-2.19	14.5	13.9	0.63
Jake Layman	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	3	-3	14.7	14.9	-0.19	14.7	14.4	0.38
Shabazz Napier	28	28	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.10	-13	16	-29	17.4	13.8	3.61	13.9	14.6	-0.71
Ed Davis	29	27	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.05	-13	16	-29	16.1	14.3	1.74	14.8	14.2	0.58
Maurice Harkless	32	31	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.02	-13	16	-29	15.7	14.4	1.25	14.7	14.3	0.41
Evan Turner	32	30	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.03	-15	18	-33	15.7	14.4	1.21	14.3	14.4	-0.14

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tomas Satoransky	28	29	0.42	-0.92	1.34	-0.05	16	-19	35	14.4	14.4	0.04	17.4	13.8	3.69
Ian Mahinmi	32	35	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.09	6	-9	15	15.0	14.1	0.89	15.7	14.4	1.27
Jodie Meeks	37	38	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.16	2	-5	7	14.5	14.4	0.10	15.0	14.7	0.31
Jason Smith	15	15	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-6	9	13.5	14.6	-1.02	17.3	14.4	2.86
Kelly Oubre Jr.	50	52	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.21	-5	2	-7	14.7	14.1	0.66	14.3	15.4	-1.08
Otto Porter Jr.	75	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-4	5	14.8	13.2	1.60	14.6	15.7	-1.06
Markieff Morris	62	61	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.49	-6	3	-9	14.0	15.1	-1.17	14.9	14.8	0.08
Tim Frazier	59	58	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.58	-4	1	-5	13.7	15.4	-1.72	14.8	14.8	0.02
Marcin Gortat	60	58	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.54	-8	5	-13	14.0	15.0	-1.03	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Bradley Beal	72	73	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.35	-20	17	-37	14.9	13.0	1.96	13.7	18.0	-4.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.85,0.97,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0	91.8%
DEN 90, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.75,0.72,0.89,0.92,0	90.8%
TOR 95, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.78,0.73,0	90.4%