NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	8.2 [220]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +90.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	66.6 [30]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -15.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.91	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.91	-0.04	0.95	-0.00	21	48%	0.98	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Kevin Willis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.00	8	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.07	-0.01	5	20%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0	0.07	-0.06	0.01	12	69%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	72%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Dell Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	13	44%	-0.08	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.10	0.01	12	42%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	21	46%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Avent	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	14	57%	0.02	3	-0.05	9	100%	0.02
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.09	-0.01	14	62%	0.01	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	9	67%	0.01	8	-0.16	6	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	29.3	16.0	25.1	2.5	37.5	137.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +115.0%

LAC -48.1%

LAC -16.1%

LAC -1.7%

TOR +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.2	103.3	102.2	101.7
season	15.5	15.6		101.8	95.5
opponent	14.3	14.9		107.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.3	15.3	14.6	15.1	15.5
LAC	14.7	12.3	15.4	21.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dee Brown	12	12	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.63	10	-9	19	12.8	15.9	-3.12	20.0	15.1	4.87
Tracy McGrady	67	67	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.63	7	-6	13	16.0	14.4	1.52	15.7	15.8	-0.05
Doug Christie	72	70	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.57	7	-6	13	15.3	16.4	-1.16	16.1	14.6	1.48
Vince Carter	74	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.52	3	-2	5	15.6	15.5	0.05	16.4	12.8	3.68
Dell Curry	22	23	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.78	-8	9	-17	15.5	15.6	-0.12	11.8	17.1	-5.30
Charles Oakley	66	66	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.25	7	-6	13	15.3	16.0	-0.69	16.3	14.5	1.81
Antonio Davis	59	59	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.12	-4	5	-9	16.6	13.6	2.97	15.9	15.5	0.43
Muggsy Bogues	31	31	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.06	-10	11	-21	15.4	15.6	-0.24	13.6	16.8	-3.19
Kevin Willis	57	57	-0.57	1.07	-1.63	-0.36	-7	8	-15	15.2	16.1	-0.97	15.6	16.1	-0.52

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	30	32	0.59	-1.09	1.68	0.12	16	-17	33	13.5	16.9	-3.40	16.1	15.2	0.84
Maurice Taylor	83	79	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.35	0	-1	1	16.6	8.1	8.48	15.9	13.1	2.87
Anthony Avent	1	3	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-4	7	2.0	15.9	-13.91	13.0	15.6	-2.63
Eric Piatkowski	23	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.54	7	-8	15	14.4	16.2	-1.83	16.3	15.3	1.07
Lamar Odom	86	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.57	5	-6	11	15.8	15.7	0.10	15.5	16.5	-1.02
Michael Olowokandi	69	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	14	-29	16.2	14.4	1.83	15.3	16.4	-1.14
Derek Anderson	84	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.45	-3	2	-5	16.1	12.0	4.12	15.3	18.0	-2.66
Tyrone Nesby	77	74	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.54	-9	8	-17	15.8	15.8	-0.05	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Jeff McInnis	7	7	-0.99	0.49	-1.49	-0.73	-9	8	-17	13.4	16.0	-2.52	14.3	15.6	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.78,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.68,0.58,0	90.7%
SEA 87, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.72,0.77,0.74,0	90.6%
HOU 76, NYK 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.74,0	90.4%