NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	9.8 [65]		MVP	Steve Novak (NYK): +38.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	11.0 [52]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -45.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.38	0.09	0.30	0.00	10	71%	0.40	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2	0.05	0.15	-0.00	16	62%	0.29	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Jared Jeffries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Mike Bibby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16	-0.08	-0.03	0.05	5	21%	-0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Landry Fields	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,-0.09,-0.2	0.05	-0.23	0.02	10	79%	0.12	5	-0.32	4	75%	-0.02
Jeremy Lin	-0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.4,-0.51,-0.38	-0.22	-0.16	0.00	24	36%	-0.18	6	-0.20	7	57%	-0.09

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.07	0.02	10	91%	0.25	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	21	62%	0.31	3	-0.19	10	100%	0.12
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	10	50%	-0.06	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.46	-0.46	-0.08	-0.37	0.00	15	37%	0.01	2	-0.47	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.4	26.4	15.4	26.6	2.6	36.0	136.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.5%

MIN -26.0%

MIN -2.7%

NYK +30.4%

NYK +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	13.4	14.3	15.6	97.1	93.3	102.8
season	14.9	15.3		102.3	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.7		104.7	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.0	12.4	14.2	15.5	13.4
MIN	13.8	12.9	14.5	16.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	73	77	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.49	8	-6	14	13.0	14.2	-1.23	14.6	13.6	1.03
Jeremy Lin	81	84	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.43	5	-3	8	13.8	11.9	1.84	14.4	13.9	0.52
Tyson Chandler	77	80	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.60	-2	4	-6	13.9	11.7	2.18	14.5	13.8	0.69
Henry Walker	59	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.52	-4	6	-10	12.2	14.9	-2.67	13.4	15.4	-2.05
Steve Novak	63	62	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	-3	8	13.7	12.8	0.91	14.5	14.1	0.35
Jared Jeffries	67	69	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	4	-6	12.5	14.9	-2.39	14.0	14.9	-0.94
Iman Shumpert	61	63	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.09	4	-2	6	14.1	12.3	1.81	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Mike Bibby	34	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	6	-10	13.6	13.2	0.34	15.3	13.9	1.38

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Beasley	68	67	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.15	1	-3	4	14.4	14.2	0.12	14.0	12.2	1.79
Wesley Johnson	40	41	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-4	6	14.2	14.4	-0.12	11.6	14.5	-2.99
Derrick Williams	29	29	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-5	8	15.1	14.0	1.03	13.9	13.1	0.75
Martell Webster	23	24	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-3	4	13.6	14.5	-0.97	11.7	13.9	-2.15
Jose Juan Barea	46	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	2	-6	14.9	13.9	1.05	13.4	13.4	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	56	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	2	-6	15.2	13.3	1.98	13.6	13.1	0.48
Kevin Love	95	93	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	0	-2	14.4	13.7	0.69	13.3	13.9	-0.60
Ricky Rubio	76	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	1	-4	14.2	14.7	-0.46	13.5	13.0	0.46
Wayne Ellington	25	23	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.45	-3	1	-4	13.6	14.5	-0.90	15.6	12.7	2.90
Nikola Pekovic	67	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.51	-1	-1	0	13.4	16.0	-2.59	13.2	13.7	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 90, NOP 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.59,0.65,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.68,0.58,0	92.6%
MIL 88, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.78,0.66,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.72,0	92.3%
POR 110, SEA 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.89,0.81,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.58,0	92.2%