NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	110		Excitement	8.3 [229]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +26.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	106		Comeback	25.9 [24]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (POR): -15.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.17	0.02	18	59%	0.31	1	-0.05	15	93%	0.13
Juan Dixon	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.01	10	82%	0.25	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	64%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.07
Brandon Roy	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	16	62%	0.13	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	4	83%	0.14	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.03
Martell Webster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	1	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Jarrett Jack	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16	-0.02	-0.15	-0.02	8	54%	-0.05	3	-0.11	8	87%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.09	0.00	9	77%	0.24	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	20	52%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	19	58%	0.19	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	17	63%	0.16	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Mouhamed Sene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	11	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.7	29.0	14.8	26.2	2.6	41.2	141.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +17.6%

POR +11.6%

POR +37.0%

SEA -14.6%

SEA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SEA	NBA	POR	SEA	NBA
this game	16.2	14.4	15.4	117.0	112.8	104.5
season	16.7	15.4		103.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		108.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.1	17.2	16.1	15.7	16.2
SEA	15.2	14.8	13.9	13.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	48	49	1.18	-0.68	1.85	0.33	29	-25	54	15.0	17.6	-2.63	14.4	14.4	-0.05
Ime Udoka	50	51	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.65	1	3	-2	16.3	16.2	0.16	13.7	15.2	-1.55
Jarrett Jack	85	85	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	-1	6	16.4	15.0	1.38	14.8	10.3	4.49
Brandon Roy	71	71	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.52	-8	12	-20	16.7	14.8	1.88	13.3	17.9	-4.66
Zach Randolph	65	64	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.35	-8	12	-20	16.6	15.6	1.00	14.5	14.2	0.33
Martell Webster	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	2	0	15.1	16.7	-1.64	16.0	13.7	2.31
Joel Przybilla	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	7	-10	16.8	16.0	0.81	14.2	14.5	-0.26
Juan Dixon	46	46	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.31	10	-6	16	15.7	16.8	-1.12	15.3	13.5	1.78
Raef LaFrentz	15	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	8	-12	17.5	16.0	1.45	14.5	14.4	0.09
Jamaal Magloire	38	37	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	8	-12	16.7	15.9	0.83	14.2	14.5	-0.34

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	44	45	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.21	2	-6	8	13.9	14.8	-0.87	17.1	15.5	1.58
Johan Petro	32	32	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-7	10	14.0	14.6	-0.60	16.4	16.1	0.29
Mouhamed Sene	23	23	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-4	4	16.5	13.7	2.82	16.3	16.2	0.14
Earl Watson	39	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	1	-6	14.8	14.1	0.64	16.3	16.2	0.06
Mickael Gelabale	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	1	-6	20.1	13.7	6.39	14.5	16.5	-1.95
Rashard Lewis	81	81	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.41	9	-13	22	14.1	16.1	-1.95	16.6	14.0	2.60
Ray Allen	77	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.50	3	-7	10	13.4	19.1	-5.70	16.5	15.1	1.45
Luke Ridnour	83	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	0	-4	13.8	18.6	-4.81	16.2	16.4	-0.20
Nick Collison	35	35	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.62	-6	2	-8	15.2	13.9	1.24	15.0	17.0	-1.98
Damien Wilkins	46	46	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.33	-17	13	-30	15.1	13.7	1.40	15.5	16.9	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.89,0.81,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.68,0.58,0	92.2%
DET 83, PHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.76,0.71,0	91.7%
WAS 88, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.58,0	91.2%