inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 101 Excitement2.1 [1229] MVPMitch Richmond (WAS): +9.2%
Washington Wizards 126 Comeback1.0 [558] LVPTim Thomas (MIL): -9.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Manning0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.120.000.101081%0.031-0.021100%-0.00
Vinny Del Negro0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.05767%0.0000.001100%0.00
Robert Traylor0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04567%0.0000.002100%0.00
J.R. Reid0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mirsad Turkcan0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rafer Alston-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.120.00-0.12617%-0.003-0.0000%0.00
Ervin Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.031052%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Sam Cassell-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.011152%0.003-0.043100%0.01
Scott Williams-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.00-0.06837%-0.013-0.033100%0.00
Glenn Robinson-0.060,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.051937%-0.022-0.0420%-0.01
Tim Thomas-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.13-0.00-0.031128%-0.062-0.043100%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.210.000.121293%0.111-0.024100%0.00
Jahidi White0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.000.041172%0.0600.00367%0.00
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.130.000.071082%0.061-0.002100%0.01
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01971%0.071-0.023100%0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.031050%0.0300.00450%0.01
Rod Strickland0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.011258%0.042-0.0100%0.00
Laron Profit0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ike Austin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04425%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02944%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01250%-0.0200.004100%0.01
Michael Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02450%0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.327.314.826.32.523.4120.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +34.5%
WAS +7.6%
MIL -0.6%
WAS +6.5%
WAS +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILWASNBAMILWASNBA
this game14.915.415.2106.3132.6101.7
season14.915.5105.5101.1
opponent14.815.4104.4105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL13.514.815.415.814.9
WAS16.514.016.614.815.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Reid1213-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-242319.314.25.1014.915.5-0.60
Mirsad Turkcan2223-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-272916.214.51.7014.615.7-1.10
Robert Traylor2525-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-293315.314.70.6114.615.8-1.20
Rafer Alston3131-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-272915.114.80.3314.416.0-1.61
Danny Manning1414-0.16-0.340.180.05-7-181113.915.0-1.1114.615.6-1.02
Scott Williams4748-0.27-0.23-0.040.11-13-12-114.615.1-0.5116.913.92.98
Tim Thomas5554-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.01-9-16713.916.1-2.2014.916.1-1.20
Vinny Del Negro4342-0.28-0.22-0.060.10-13-12-114.015.6-1.5513.816.8-2.97
Ray Allen6364-0.34-0.16-0.170.28-21-4-1714.615.5-0.9016.014.31.76
Ervin Johnson5252-0.34-0.16-0.190.33-23-2-2115.414.31.1315.715.10.68
Sam Cassell4948-0.38-0.12-0.260.24-21-4-1715.214.50.6816.314.51.80
Glenn Robinson6261-0.45-0.05-0.390.29-250-2514.715.2-0.5215.914.71.15

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mitch Richmond59600.450.050.39-0.292502515.914.71.2515.014.60.48
Rod Strickland54550.410.090.33-0.292412316.014.71.3415.314.30.95
Tracy Murray53530.320.180.14-0.272051514.516.6-2.0713.616.4-2.79
Jahidi White56570.310.190.13-0.241961316.014.61.4014.615.3-0.65
Aaron Williams49480.310.190.11-0.071312114.416.5-2.0915.314.50.80
Juwan Howard45450.190.31-0.12-0.161213-116.414.61.8614.715.0-0.31
Ike Austin39380.190.31-0.130.01619-1314.616.0-1.4015.314.60.65
Michael Smith32330.180.32-0.14-0.02718-1117.314.52.7714.814.9-0.13
Chris Whitney41400.090.41-0.330.06124-2314.716.0-1.3414.315.3-0.95
Richard Hamilton36350.050.45-0.390.05025-2514.715.9-1.2514.615.0-0.48
Laron Profit11110.000.50-0.500.06-227-2915.015.5-0.5020.014.25.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 95, NJN 1330.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
WAS 99, LAL 1200.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
CHA 89, NOH 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%