NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	89		Excitement	2.1 [1276]		MVP	Morris Peterson (NOH): +6.7%
New Orleans Hornets	105		Comeback	1.1 [916]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): -6.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	53%	0.05	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.03	9	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.20	0.00	0.18	15	78%	0.02	1	0.00	6	100%	-0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Shannon Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	29%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Sean May	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Adam Morrison	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	0.00	-0.09	11	25%	-0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.00	4	-0.06	3	33%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	10	73%	0.07	2	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.00	0.08	5	107%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	74%	0.08	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	11	77%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.12	4	40%	0.03	4	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	10	29%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	30.1	17.5	26.2	1.8	26.3	127.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +25.0%

NOH +6.6%

NOH +9.7%

NOH +6.0%

NOH +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOH	NBA	CHA	NOH	NBA
this game	15.9	16.5	15.5	100.0	118.0	106.4
season	16.5	16.6		103.0	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.6		106.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.6	16.0	17.5	11.8	15.9
NOH	16.6	14.6	16.0	18.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	25	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.27	8	-24	32	14.4	16.5	-2.05	18.0	15.9	2.09
Nazr Mohammed	18	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.25	-13	-3	-10	19.3	15.0	4.26	15.8	16.7	-0.89
Dwayne Jones	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-11	6	14.9	16.0	-1.10	16.8	16.4	0.38
Matt Carroll	46	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.20	-12	-4	-8	17.3	14.3	2.96	15.1	18.0	-2.83
Alexis Ajinca	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-9	2	16.0	15.8	0.26	15.8	17.0	-1.20
Sean May	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-10	4	15.7	16.0	-0.21	15.1	17.4	-2.30
D.J. Augustin	68	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-15	14	15.9	15.9	0.03	16.7	15.8	0.88
Shannon Brown	43	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-17	18	13.5	18.1	-4.62	16.9	16.1	0.71
Emeka Okafor	51	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-7	-2	15.6	16.3	-0.67	17.3	15.3	2.08
Raymond Felton	41	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.39	-27	11	-38	17.2	14.7	2.49	17.0	16.1	0.87
Adam Morrison	69	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	-7	-2	15.6	16.8	-1.19	16.7	15.8	0.88

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	51	52	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.49	33	-17	50	15.4	17.9	-2.51	18.2	12.6	5.66
Chris Paul	54	55	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.40	26	-10	36	15.4	18.1	-2.64	17.8	12.8	4.94
Tyson Chandler	40	42	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.45	27	-11	38	16.2	16.7	-0.56	18.5	13.5	5.06
Rasual Butler	45	46	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.40	24	-8	32	15.5	17.5	-1.92	18.1	13.5	4.67
Peja Stojakovic	46	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.29	19	-3	22	16.6	16.4	0.21	18.3	13.1	5.18
James Posey	41	40	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	13	-10	15.5	17.3	-1.85	14.2	17.3	-3.09
Morris Peterson	35	35	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.41	-8	24	-32	18.1	15.4	2.64	13.0	17.7	-4.69
Devin Brown	44	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.45	-10	26	-36	17.5	15.5	1.92	13.3	18.2	-4.86
Hilton Armstrong	31	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	19	-22	17.8	15.8	1.98	13.4	17.1	-3.65
Sean Marks	38	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.52	-17	33	-50	17.9	15.4	2.51	12.6	18.2	-5.66
Melvin Ely	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	16.9	16.4	0.47	11.5	16.4	-4.93
Julian Wright	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	16.9	16.4	0.47	11.5	16.4	-4.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 75, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
DEN 95, NJN 133	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
MIL 101, WAS 126	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%