NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	95		Excitement	2.4 [1205]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): +9.4%
New Jersey Nets	133		Comeback	1.2 [1167]		LVP	Tony Battie (DEN): -4.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Goldwire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	78%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	60%	0.02	4	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	62%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Priest Lauderdale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiwane Garris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	12	64%	0.04	6	-0.05	9	78%	0.02
Dean Garrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Washington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tony Battie	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	11	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	11	81%	0.14	3	-0.04	15	73%	0.01
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	14	61%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	13	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	7	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	-0.13	13	48%	0.04	7	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	5	17%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	27.0	14.8	27.6	2.3	21.4	117.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +24.5%

DEN -6.0%

NJN +15.6%

NJN +14.6%

NJN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NJN	NBA	DEN	NJN	NBA
this game	15.3	13.4	15.6	95.0	131.7	102.5
season	16.2	15.6		96.7	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.2		103.9	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.9	15.7	16.0	12.7	15.3
NJN	13.1	13.1	12.3	15.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kiwane Garris	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-44	50	12.7	15.5	-2.76	14.1	13.3	0.81
Joe Wolf	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-42	46	12.0	15.4	-3.43	15.8	13.2	2.55
Priest Lauderdale	19	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-37	36	15.1	15.3	-0.29	11.9	13.7	-1.82
Anthony Goldwire	54	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.27	-15	-23	8	15.3	15.3	0.01	13.2	13.5	-0.30
Danny Fortson	65	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.21	-15	-23	8	15.2	15.4	-0.21	13.3	13.4	-0.10
Dean Garrett	60	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.60	-30	-8	-22	15.7	14.7	0.94	13.0	14.0	-0.99
Bobby Jackson	70	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.46	-26	-12	-14	14.7	16.6	-1.92	13.8	12.5	1.33
Eric Washington	69	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.53	-29	-9	-20	15.2	15.5	-0.37	13.0	14.1	-1.11
Johnny Newman	65	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.47	-28	-10	-18	15.6	14.6	1.02	13.1	13.9	-0.88
Tony Battie	52	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.58	-34	-4	-30	15.3	15.3	-0.00	14.2	12.5	1.68

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Williams	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.76	40	-2	42	12.7	15.2	-2.49	16.3	12.5	3.85
Keith Van Horn	66	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.67	37	1	36	13.0	14.1	-1.17	15.9	14.1	1.74
Kerry Kittles	59	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.43	27	11	16	13.0	13.9	-0.95	15.3	15.3	0.01
Kendall Gill	58	58	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.46	27	11	16	13.6	13.1	0.53	15.3	15.3	0.05
Sherman Douglas	59	57	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.34	21	17	4	14.6	11.6	2.97	14.3	16.6	-2.35
Sam Cassell	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.27	17	21	-4	11.6	14.6	-2.97	16.6	14.3	2.35
David Benoit	48	46	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.27	15	23	-8	13.5	13.3	0.16	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Kevin Edwards	42	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.18	11	27	-16	13.9	13.0	0.95	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Michael Cage	8	7	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	33	-28	11.2	13.6	-2.31	19.4	15.0	4.45
Yinka Dare	28	27	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	40	-42	15.2	12.7	2.49	12.5	16.3	-3.85
Xavier McDaniel	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	46	-54	14.6	13.0	1.55	12.6	16.1	-3.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, LAL 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
MIL 101, WAS 126	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
CHA 89, NOH 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%