inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 99 Excitement2.2 [1248] MVPSlava Medvedenko (LAL): +8.6%
Los Angeles Lakers 120 Comeback1.2 [1082] LVPLarry Hughes (WAS): -10.4%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Christian Laettner0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.000.04769%0.0300.002100%0.00
Etan Thomas0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.03775%0.032-0.022100%0.00
Jarvis Hayes-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021858%0.033-0.032100%-0.00
Chris Whitney-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.000.05861%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Brevin Knight-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02450%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Steve Blake-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.120.00-0.0950%-0.022-0.0100%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.011100%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Juan Dixon-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.11-0.00-0.041943%-0.043-0.02887%0.00
Kwame Brown-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.090.00-0.02520%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.100,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.14-0.00-0.041636%-0.063-0.04450%-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.020.00592%0.091-0.00250%-0.00
Devean George0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.031078%0.082-0.033100%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.001367%0.063-0.027100%0.01
Gary Payton0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.060.00-0.081042%0.031-0.00425%-0.01
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.04878%0.032-0.022100%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01576%0.032-0.027100%0.01
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.05583%0.011-0.002100%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.04-0.00-0.04874%0.056-0.053100%0.01
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.06275%-0.004-0.0000%0.00
Horace Grant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00337%-0.0200.00250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game590.12.831.2-703.231.32.627.3-17.9
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +37.0%
LAL +8.3%
WAS -5.8%
LAL +11.6%
WAS -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASLALNBAWASLALNBA
this game16.312.115.797.1118.8100.5
season15.215.496.4102.8
opponent15.615.399.0102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS18.418.415.013.716.3
LAL11.611.69.516.412.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juan Dixon4645-0.12-0.380.26-0.182-232514.617.7-3.1113.211.12.06
Brendan Haywood3536-0.12-0.380.250.02-5-161118.015.42.6411.512.4-0.83
Brevin Knight3031-0.14-0.360.22-0.233-242715.216.7-1.5512.012.1-0.13
Jared Jeffries4744-0.16-0.340.190.02-6-15914.817.5-2.7213.111.21.87
Steve Blake3330-0.17-0.330.170.21-13-8-514.617.1-2.5412.611.80.77
Chris Whitney3940-0.19-0.310.120.13-11-10-118.614.93.7211.712.3-0.55
Etan Thomas5856-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.02-9-12315.417.5-2.0812.811.11.71
Christian Laettner4849-0.29-0.21-0.080.24-18-3-1518.014.83.1811.312.8-1.46
Kwame Brown5051-0.31-0.19-0.110.10-14-7-717.415.22.1311.113.0-1.86
Jarvis Hayes7171-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-11-10-115.318.6-3.2812.211.80.37
Larry Hughes5352-0.37-0.13-0.250.30-232-2517.714.82.9211.213.0-1.79

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Karl Malone61600.360.140.22-0.171831511.213.4-2.2617.215.02.20
Gary Payton57560.310.190.12-0.191741311.113.3-2.1517.115.31.84
Slava Medvedenko54560.310.190.12-0.07138512.511.60.8715.117.8-2.75
Horace Grant62600.310.190.11-0.021110111.113.6-2.5817.514.53.05
Devean George57560.290.210.08-0.15156911.113.3-2.1517.315.02.28
Kobe Bryant53520.290.210.08-0.15156911.412.8-1.4417.614.92.66
Derek Fisher39410.220.28-0.07-0.02813-512.511.80.7415.616.8-1.14
Bryon Russell44460.200.30-0.110.08417-1313.311.12.1515.017.3-2.28
Kareem Rush30320.180.32-0.13-0.141110114.011.22.7616.316.3-0.02
Luke Walton25280.030.47-0.430.03021-2115.810.85.0214.117.1-2.97
Jannero Pargo23230.000.50-0.490.21-728-3512.711.90.7712.617.4-4.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 85, ATL 1180.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
DEN 95, NJN 1330.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
MIL 101, WAS 1260.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%