NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	2.2 [1281]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +10.3%
Atlanta Hawks	118		Comeback	1.0 [1184]		LVP	Trey Burke (UTA): -7.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Evans	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.00	-0.07	10	45%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	4	80%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Lucas III	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	13	31%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Diante Garrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	14	37%	-0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.03	11	48%	-0.04	3	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Alec Burks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	0.00	0.07	12	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Trey Burke	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	8	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	15	70%	0.10	1	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.22	0.00	0.13	13	83%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	5	79%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	8	75%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	47%	0.00	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.04	8	41%	-0.06	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	24.2	15.3	24.7	2.4	26.6	117.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +29.8%

ATL +4.7%

ATL +3.6%

ATL +12.2%

UTA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	17.0	13.2	15.1	89.5	122.9	105.2
season	16.2	14.8		102.1	103.8
opponent	15.3	14.8		104.7	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.4	18.1	16.5	16.0	17.0
ATL	13.9	14.0	11.8	13.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Harris	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-27	21	15.6	17.2	-1.65	14.6	13.0	1.69
Brandon Rush	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.16	-7	-26	19	15.8	17.6	-1.85	13.5	13.0	0.53
John Lucas III	39	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.22	-9	-24	15	16.4	17.4	-1.05	12.5	13.7	-1.16
Enes Kanter	56	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.14	-8	-25	17	16.1	18.3	-2.21	12.6	14.1	-1.48
Diante Garrett	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.22	-13	-20	7	16.8	17.1	-0.28	14.5	12.7	1.84
Jeremy Evans	46	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-24	15	16.9	17.0	-0.13	12.2	14.2	-1.97
Marvin Williams	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.25	-18	-15	-3	17.6	16.6	1.03	14.0	12.8	1.22
Richard Jefferson	31	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-18	3	18.0	16.5	1.47	14.7	12.4	2.33
Alec Burks	59	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-18	3	16.9	17.1	-0.21	12.1	15.0	-2.98
Trey Burke	38	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.20	-17	-16	-1	17.9	16.4	1.53	13.6	12.9	0.65
Gordon Hayward	57	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.30	-23	-10	-13	17.1	16.7	0.40	12.9	13.7	-0.80
Derrick Favors	39	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.33	-25	-8	-17	18.3	16.1	2.21	14.1	12.6	1.48

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	48	47	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.24	23	10	13	13.2	13.2	-0.06	17.4	16.6	0.76
DeMarre Carroll	53	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.42	27	6	21	12.7	13.8	-1.03	16.9	17.0	-0.08
Paul Millsap	54	53	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.31	23	10	13	12.7	13.8	-1.13	17.3	16.6	0.65
Jeff Teague	50	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.32	21	12	9	12.6	13.8	-1.21	16.8	17.2	-0.34
Al Horford	47	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	21	-9	13.5	12.9	0.53	16.6	17.3	-0.72
Louis Williams	48	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	21	-9	12.8	13.6	-0.77	17.2	16.7	0.50
Shelvin Mack	30	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	27	-21	13.9	12.9	1.02	17.8	16.6	1.17
Elton Brand	37	38	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.36	18	15	3	13.5	13.0	0.43	17.6	16.6	0.96
Mike Scott	42	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.16	10	23	-13	13.8	12.7	1.13	16.6	17.3	-0.65
Pero Antic	21	21	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.21	9	24	-15	13.3	13.2	0.11	17.0	17.0	0.03
Dennis Schroder	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	27	-21	13.7	13.1	0.59	16.0	17.2	-1.18
John Jenkins	34	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	35	-37	13.8	12.9	0.92	16.0	17.5	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, LAL 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
CHH 87, MIL 137	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
NYK 90, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%