NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	108		Excitement	8.9 [134]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): +42.4%
Detroit Pistons	115		Comeback	1.5 [673]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (TOR): -28.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.18,0.11	-0.02	0.10	-0.03	23	56%	0.19	3	-0.07	15	93%	0.13
Kevin Willis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	43%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Haywoode Workman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	40%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	8	12%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.00	0.01	11	47%	-0.04	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Antonio Davis	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.03	-0.17	0.00	12	51%	-0.19	0	0.00	13	69%	-0.10
Tracy McGrady	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	0.01	17	50%	-0.01	5	-0.27	6	100%	0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.42	0.42	0.11	0.30	-0.01	15	78%	0.50	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.12
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	75%	0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Eric Montross	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	8	61%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	89%	0.06	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Terry Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	15	38%	-0.07	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.12	-0.01	25	53%	0.08	5	-0.25	7	86%	0.03
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	11	32%	-0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	30.2	16.0	31.2	1.7	49.2	1.4	16.9	171.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +61.2%

TOR -5.9%

TOR -0.8%

DET +2.9%

TOR -7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	13.8	14.4	15.2	95.6	102.7	101.7
season	15.5	14.1		101.8	104.2
opponent	15.3	14.9		103.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	15.0	14.8	14.1	12.2	12.1	13.8
DET	13.3	11.9	15.3	16.6	16.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	71	71	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.03	5	-12	17	13.8	14.0	-0.24	15.3	12.9	2.43
Tracy McGrady	78	78	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-10	13	14.1	13.3	0.82	14.6	14.1	0.48
Charles Oakley	63	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-6	5	14.2	13.4	0.88	14.0	15.0	-0.98
Vince Carter	97	96	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-11	15	13.0	19.1	-6.15	14.3	14.9	-0.53
Haywoode Workman	28	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-5	3	9.7	15.2	-5.45	15.1	14.2	0.91
Kevin Willis	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	1	-9	15.2	13.2	1.97	13.4	14.9	-1.52
Antonio Davis	90	88	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-2	-3	13.5	15.2	-1.72	14.5	14.1	0.43
Muggsy Bogues	36	36	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.05	-15	8	-23	17.4	12.2	5.28	12.9	15.1	-2.21
Dell Curry	55	56	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.42	-9	2	-11	14.5	13.3	1.21	14.4	14.4	0.05

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Mills	56	55	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.30	17	-10	27	13.9	14.9	-1.02	14.8	13.0	1.82
Michael Curry	51	54	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.54	6	1	5	14.7	14.2	0.45	14.1	13.7	0.39
Grant Hill	108	108	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-4	15	14.7	8.0	6.66	13.7	18.0	-4.34
Loy Vaught	7	7	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	-2	11	16.6	14.3	2.30	19.7	13.5	6.25
Jerry Stackhouse	88	88	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	5	-3	14.5	14.0	0.59	13.6	14.6	-1.01
Lindsey Hunter	73	74	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	4	-1	14.8	13.6	1.23	12.8	15.8	-3.01
John Crotty	39	40	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	3	1	13.6	14.8	-1.23	15.5	12.9	2.55
Jud Buechler	16	15	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	6	-5	11.8	14.9	-3.04	12.7	14.0	-1.36
Eric Montross	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	11	-15	19.3	14.1	5.19	9.5	14.1	-4.59
Jerome Williams	45	47	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	11	-15	14.4	14.4	-0.07	14.5	13.4	1.17
Christian Laettner	71	71	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.06	-10	17	-27	14.1	15.0	-0.84	13.3	14.8	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.89,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 108, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.96,0.98,1	91.0%
NOH 91, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.86,0.79,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.8,0.74,0.46,0.73,0.79,0.98,1,1	90.8%
OKC 95, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.91,0.92,1	90.4%