NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	91		Excitement	7.1 [433]		MVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): +37.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	100		Comeback	1.4 [843]		LVP	Dan Dickau (NOH): -29.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,0,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	-0.06	0.28	0.00	15	44%	0.26	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Corsley Edwards	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Freije	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.04	10	36%	-0.01	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.09
George Lynch	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	16	54%	-0.07	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
David Wesley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.04	0.06	16	58%	-0.05	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.08
Dan Dickau	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.09	-0.18	0.02	15	41%	-0.18	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.02	0.34	-0.02	25	54%	0.43	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.05	0.24	-0.04	15	64%	0.36	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	71%	0.07	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.1,-0.23,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	14	60%	0.12	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Lionel Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	12	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	29.3	15.7	24.1	2.5	36.2	1.5	14.2	149.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +122.0%

NOH -45.6%

NOH -18.7%

NOH -6.5%

NOH -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAC	NBA	NOH	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	17.8	15.5	98.9	108.7	104.0
season	16.5	16.0		97.7	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.8	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	19.9	15.2	16.4	16.9	13.9	16.7
LAC	16.1	18.2	18.6	19.2	16.1	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corsley Edwards	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	13.8	16.9	-3.11	16.8	17.9	-1.09
Matt Freije	12	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-7	5	14.2	17.1	-2.96	16.7	18.1	-1.39
Junior Harrington	28	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-6	3	17.4	16.5	0.94	17.3	18.0	-0.73
J.R. Smith	12	14	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-4	-1	14.6	17.1	-2.48	18.0	17.8	0.21
David Wesley	76	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-3	-3	17.3	14.0	3.32	17.9	17.3	0.61
George Lynch	48	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	18.2	15.2	2.98	17.4	18.2	-0.83
Chris Andersen	67	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-4	-1	17.0	16.1	0.91	17.6	18.3	-0.67
P.J. Brown	79	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-4	-1	17.0	15.2	1.76	18.3	15.1	3.20
Dan Dickau	68	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-5	1	16.2	18.2	-2.04	17.9	17.7	0.16
Lee Nailon	65	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	0	-9	15.8	18.9	-3.10	18.1	17.1	0.99

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lionel Chalmers	75	74	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	1	7	18.4	15.2	3.25	16.0	19.7	-3.64
Bobby Simmons	88	87	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-2	13	17.8	18.2	-0.44	16.7	16.8	-0.06
Chris Kaman	48	47	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.38	3	6	-3	17.7	17.9	-0.16	17.2	16.3	0.88
Elton Brand	83	85	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	2	5	17.9	16.8	1.16	17.1	12.3	4.82
Rick Brunson	77	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	3	3	17.5	19.5	-1.96	16.5	17.9	-1.32
Mikki Moore	52	52	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.15	9	0	9	18.2	17.4	0.80	16.4	17.2	-0.77
Quinton Ross	11	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	8	-7	15.5	18.1	-2.59	20.0	16.2	3.75
Chris Wilcox	26	25	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	9	-9	17.2	18.1	-0.94	16.6	16.8	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.86,0.79,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.8,0.74,0.46,0.73,0.79,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 108, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.89,0.73,1	90.8%
BKN 113, WAS 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.75,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.83,0.91,0.91,1	90.3%
MIN 124, UTA 133	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.85,0.98,1,1	89.7%