inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 108 Excitement6.3 [565] MVPTyler Hansbrough (IND): +28.5%
Indiana Pacers 115 Comeback1.2 [465] LVPKeith Bogans (CHI): -9.6%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Rose0.180,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.43,0.43,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.180.110.120.052756%0.364-0.172186%0.28
Joakim Noah0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.16-0.000.05889%0.1100.003100%0.01
CJ Watson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.01-0.061035%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Omer Asik-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01262%0.012-0.03425%-0.04
Ronnie Brewer-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Korver-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00625%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01250%-0.021-0.02250%-0.02
Luol Deng-0.050,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.05-0.080.011850%-0.0500.00683%0.00
Taj Gibson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.02740%-0.061-0.02667%-0.01
Keith Bogans-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.01-0.0030%-0.052-0.0500%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.190.120.021967%0.2900.005100%0.02
Roy Hibbert0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.040.01960%0.1000.00771%-0.01
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.10.100.020.04-0.04750%0.1000.002100%0.01
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.020.001161%0.113-0.06989%0.02
A.J. Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01-0.03847%0.041-0.011100%0.00
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01637%-0.0100.004100%0.01
Paul George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00643%-0.001-0.022100%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.02530%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.00440%-0.0300.0020%-0.04
Darren Collison0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.02-0.041844%0.064-0.123100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.21.832.216.632.01.840.01.617.4166.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +68.3%
CHI -33.1%
IND +8.1%
IND +9.8%
CHI -3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIINDNBACHIINDNBA
this game15.416.515.5108.0116.2105.7
season15.714.7106.5103.1
opponent15.415.9104.599.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI17.314.913.316.216.515.4
IND16.217.015.019.813.516.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
CJ Watson2827-0.04-0.460.42-0.102-91112.916.4-3.4717.316.21.05
Ronnie Brewer3534-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-7713.816.3-2.4617.316.11.16
Taj Gibson6059-0.14-0.360.22-0.388-152314.816.3-1.4517.215.51.70
Omer Asik4038-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-4114.416.1-1.7616.516.6-0.06
Keith Bogans2827-0.23-0.270.040.09-114-1517.014.82.1315.516.9-1.45
Kurt Thomas4848-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.00-103-1316.014.91.0215.617.4-1.81
Kyle Korver4647-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.340-7716.014.91.1417.315.81.53
Luol Deng9190-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.29-3-4115.317.1-1.8516.120.4-4.30
Joakim Noah5253-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.14-92-1116.414.42.0716.616.40.23
Derrick Rose7272-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.20-92-1116.412.93.4716.217.3-1.05

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Roy Hibbert55570.99-0.491.470.2226-194515.517.8-2.2316.214.41.77
Paul George52540.76-0.261.030.2916-92515.218.1-2.9115.415.5-0.05
Darren Collison74730.460.040.430.1411-41515.619.2-3.5115.615.00.64
Danny Granger55560.450.050.410.1012-51716.516.6-0.0616.813.73.08
Tyler Hansbrough67680.310.190.120.2234-116.017.7-1.7915.615.10.49
Josh McRoberts32320.140.36-0.220.0243117.716.01.7915.115.6-0.49
A.J. Price25270.040.46-0.430.15-411-1519.215.63.5115.015.6-0.64
Dahntay Jones42430.030.47-0.440.24-714-2117.216.11.1013.716.7-2.96
Brandon Rush4947-0.200.70-0.900.00-714-2117.515.61.8915.415.5-0.09
Jeff Foster4443-0.490.99-1.470.07-1926-4517.815.52.2314.416.2-1.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.96,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 132, LAC 1400.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.86,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,0.98,0.46,0.68,0.84,0.97,1,193.3%
MIA 116, MEM 1260.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.91,1,193.0%
HOU 98, WAS 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.77,0.91,192.5%