NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	100		Excitement	11.2 [27]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +39.3%
Golden State Warriors	95		Comeback	3.1 [578]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -41.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.42,0.39	0.08	0.32	0.01	15	63%	0.42	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15	-0.00	0.15	0.00	7	56%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	14	52%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Emanual Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chuck Person	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.09	-0.17	0.01	18	59%	0.01	7	-0.29	15	67%	-0.03
Gary Payton	-0.42	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.36,-0.36,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42	-0.22	-0.22	-0.02	19	33%	-0.25	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamel Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	15	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	40%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	16	48%	-0.10	2	-0.06	10	60%	-0.09
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	13	50%	-0.08	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	19	43%	-0.17	1	-0.03	9	44%	-0.08
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28	-0.28	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	7	31%	-0.08	5	-0.20	2	50%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.05	-0.24	0.00	11	50%	-0.18	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	0.4	32.2	13.8	28.2	2.8	40.2	1.5	14.2	157.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +83.0%

SEA +7.7%

GSW -30.4%

GSW -11.3%

SEA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.2	96.2	91.3	101.7
season	14.9	14.7		103.5	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.4		105.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	13.8	15.3	12.0	16.4	16.1	14.5
GSW	13.9	16.0	18.0	14.9	20.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	71	73	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	13.7	16.1	-2.43	15.3	18.0	-2.73
Brent Barry	91	92	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-2	9	15.0	10.5	4.48	16.3	14.9	1.36
Emanual Davis	35	35	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	-7	19	12.4	15.5	-3.15	15.1	16.6	-1.55
Horace Grant	80	80	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	3	-1	14.6	14.0	0.65	16.2	15.9	0.26
Vin Baker	91	92	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	4	-3	15.0	10.4	4.66	16.5	13.1	3.43
Greg Foster	13	14	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	-2	9	11.0	15.0	-3.96	14.4	16.4	-2.03
Gary Payton	90	90	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	5	-5	14.6	13.6	0.95	16.1	16.5	-0.44
Chuck Person	17	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	4	-3	15.6	14.2	1.35	15.7	16.2	-0.43
Jelani McCoy	6	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	8	-11	10.2	14.7	-4.56	16.8	16.1	0.72
Ruben Patterson	26	23	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.05	-11	16	-27	16.5	13.8	2.67	19.3	15.2	4.04

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Caffey	74	76	0.30	-0.80	1.09	-0.23	18	-23	41	16.5	15.1	1.47	15.4	11.8	3.66
Tony Farmer	9	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-1	-3	14.6	16.3	-1.71	9.4	14.9	-5.51
Sam Mack	69	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.43	8	-13	21	17.2	14.0	3.23	15.6	12.0	3.61
Adonal Foyle	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	1	-7	16.7	15.5	1.23	14.4	14.5	-0.17
Vonteego Cummings	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	6	-17	14.7	17.4	-2.73	12.6	16.1	-3.54
Jamel Thomas	28	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	6	-17	14.2	16.8	-2.65	13.0	15.0	-2.00
Mookie Blaylock	91	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	16.2	15.8	0.31	15.1	10.5	4.67
Donyell Marshall	57	56	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	3	-11	15.9	16.4	-0.53	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Antawn Jamison	90	91	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	1	-7	16.2	15.4	0.88	14.2	16.4	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.28,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 105, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.58,0	89.2%
TOR 109, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.48,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	88.5%
BOS 102, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.24,0.04,0	88.3%