NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	109		Excitement	12.6 [19]		MVP	Jose Calderon (DAL): +47.6%
Dallas Mavericks	108		Comeback	7.7 [61]		LVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): -57.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	13	64%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.07	0.01	8	68%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.08
Terrence Ross	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	9	75%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.07	0.01	11	64%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.02,-0.02	-0.15	0.09	-0.04	18	38%	0.16	6	-0.18	3	67%	-0.08
John Salmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	0.13	1	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.08	0.04	-0.11	0.00	16	57%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.59,0.48	0.48	0.20	0.28	0.00	13	88%	0.49	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	-0.01	0.29	0.00	14	50%	0.35	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.08	0.00	8	59%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.17
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.37,0.21,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.24	-0.24	0.05	-0.28	0.00	22	49%	-0.24	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.57	-0.57	-0.00	-0.56	0.01	19	51%	-0.35	3	-0.23	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	30.2	15.7	25.5	1.8	29.2	2.3	14.2	143.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +36.1%

TOR +26.9%

DAL -25.7%

TOR +7.9%

TOR +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DAL	NBA	TOR	DAL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.1	15.1	109.0	108.0	105.2
season	15.9	15.3		107.2	109.0
opponent	15.0	15.1		107.0	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	17.3	16.2	15.6	16.5	20.5	16.7
DAL	13.2	14.5	15.7	17.0	15.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	75	72	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.50	11	-10	21	16.5	17.3	-0.73	15.2	14.6	0.59
DeMar DeRozan	79	78	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.48	1	0	1	17.5	13.8	3.76	15.2	14.8	0.38
John Salmons	58	59	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.61	-4	5	-9	16.8	16.6	0.23	15.5	14.4	1.11
Greivis Vasquez	28	28	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	-2	5	16.9	16.7	0.23	14.6	15.2	-0.64
Jonas Valanciunas	63	65	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.27	-1	2	-3	16.9	16.4	0.56	15.7	14.0	1.69
Terrence Ross	59	59	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.18	10	-9	19	15.7	18.2	-2.48	14.5	15.9	-1.37
Kyle Lowry	77	77	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.31	-7	8	-15	16.6	17.0	-0.41	15.1	15.1	-0.08
Charles Hayes	4	4	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	-1	3	12.0	16.9	-4.93	12.7	15.2	-2.42
Patrick Patterson	47	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	7	-13	16.7	16.7	-0.01	14.7	15.4	-0.77
Tyler Hansbrough	10	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	5	-9	18.2	16.6	1.63	14.4	15.2	-0.79

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	49	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.30	9	-10	19	15.2	14.9	0.26	17.0	16.5	0.59
Jae Crowder	29	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.21	4	-5	9	14.6	15.3	-0.68	17.8	16.4	1.40
Shane Larkin	24	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-3	5	15.9	14.8	1.06	18.2	16.2	1.92
Dirk Nowitzki	77	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.59	13	-14	27	15.7	13.0	2.74	17.8	13.0	4.84
DeJuan Blair	39	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	1	-3	15.0	15.1	-0.16	16.7	16.7	-0.04
Monta Ellis	87	87	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.31	3	-4	7	14.9	16.1	-1.16	16.2	20.5	-4.38
Samuel Dalembert	12	12	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	7	-15	14.8	15.1	-0.27	15.6	16.9	-1.30
Jose Calderon	69	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-2	3	15.0	15.2	-0.18	16.7	16.7	-0.02
Vince Carter	36	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	10	-21	14.2	15.5	-1.32	15.2	17.6	-2.40
Shawn Marion	78	78	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.23	-16	15	-31	15.0	15.4	-0.38	16.2	18.6	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.48,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 88, SEA 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.59,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.15,0.17,0	90.0%
ORL 121, BOS 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.18,0.47,0.38,0.24,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.43,0.22,0.26,0.46,0.2,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	89.1%
BKN 110, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.5,0.61,0.37,0.24,0.28,0	88.7%