NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	87		Excitement	6.1 [586]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): +9.8%
Washington Wizards	99		Comeback	1.2 [1050]		LVP	John Starks (GSW): -23.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	14	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tony Farmer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Vonteego Cummings	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	11	48%	-0.00	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	8	61%	-0.04	4	-0.13	7	57%	-0.03
John Starks	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.09	-0.02	22	36%	-0.07	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.02	12	63%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Jahidi White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	80%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	6	73%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	13	50%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	12	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	15	38%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	32.2	15.4	23.5	2.3	27.7	126.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +31.0%

GSW -1.4%

WAS +6.9%

WAS +10.5%

WAS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	WAS	NBA	GSW	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	16.1	15.2	95.6	108.8	101.7
season	14.7	15.5		97.2	101.1
opponent	14.8	14.7		104.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.9	12.9	16.6	16.0	15.5
WAS	16.6	17.1	14.1	16.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Farmer	2	2	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-14	16	9.5	15.7	-6.17	10.5	16.2	-5.74
Drew Barry	4	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	16.7	15.5	1.27	17.3	16.1	1.27
Bill Curley	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-9	6	10.2	16.2	-6.00	15.6	16.2	-0.57
Mookie Blaylock	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-16	20	14.1	17.1	-3.01	15.8	16.5	-0.71
Donyell Marshall	57	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-6	0	13.8	18.4	-4.59	16.2	16.0	0.12
Jason Caffey	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-5	-2	15.6	15.3	0.26	16.2	15.9	0.28
Adonal Foyle	48	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-3	-6	17.8	13.0	4.86	16.5	15.7	0.83
Antawn Jamison	74	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	16.3	12.3	3.99	16.0	16.5	-0.47
John Starks	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-1	-10	16.1	12.9	3.12	16.4	14.7	1.65
Vonteego Cummings	64	63	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.01	-22	10	-32	15.8	14.9	0.98	16.0	16.5	-0.51

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Smith	43	44	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.07	14	-2	16	15.8	16.4	-0.56	16.0	15.1	0.89
Mitch Richmond	66	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	4	4	15.7	17.1	-1.39	15.6	15.4	0.25
Juwan Howard	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	5	2	16.3	15.7	0.53	15.8	14.8	1.03
Chris Whitney	21	21	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	8	-4	16.7	15.9	0.79	16.1	15.4	0.72
Jahidi White	45	44	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	11	-10	16.2	16.0	0.22	17.0	14.2	2.74
Richard Hamilton	29	29	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	5	2	16.5	15.9	0.55	14.5	16.0	-1.55
Rod Strickland	68	68	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	4	4	15.9	16.9	-1.02	15.5	15.5	0.02
Tracy Murray	22	24	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	7	-2	16.3	16.0	0.27	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Ike Austin	40	41	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	7	-2	16.0	16.2	-0.20	14.4	16.4	-2.00
Aaron Williams	52	50	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	11	-10	16.2	15.9	0.33	15.3	15.8	-0.44
Reggie Jordan	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	18.5	16.1	2.44	9.5	15.7	-6.17
Gerard King	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	18.5	16.1	2.44	9.5	15.7	-6.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
WAS 94, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
PHX 117, HOU 120	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.99,0.98,1	94.2%