NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	117		Excitement	6.2 [587]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +37.1%
Houston Rockets	120		Comeback	1.4 [962]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -15.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.06	0.03	8	83%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12	0.16	0.00	0.05	16	75%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	19	67%	0.19	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Raja Bell	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	11	56%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.04	-0.09	0.02	14	54%	-0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.24	0.17	0.03	20	74%	0.40	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.04	0.03	8	106%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	5	80%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	31	53%	0.19	6	-0.12	11	73%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	39%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	28.8	19.6	24.5	2.6	36.4	139.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +12.1%

HOU +10.0%

HOU +31.9%

HOU +0.4%

PHX -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	13.2	17.0	15.4	121.9	126.3	104.5
season	13.8	15.6		112.2	103.6
opponent	15.7	16.0		99.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	12.2	14.0	13.0	13.2
HOU	19.2	17.0	16.6	15.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	23	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-6	9	16.7	12.0	4.70	19.6	16.1	3.50
Boris Diaw	55	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-1	-1	14.0	12.1	1.87	17.8	15.8	2.04
Shawn Marion	82	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.37	6	-9	15	12.9	14.5	-1.56	16.8	18.0	-1.17
James Jones	46	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-1	-1	14.3	12.1	2.23	18.0	16.1	1.96
Leandro Barbosa	57	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.41	1	-4	5	13.7	12.4	1.27	17.8	15.9	1.83
Amar'e Stoudemire	73	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	3	-9	12.0	16.7	-4.70	16.1	19.6	-3.50
Steve Nash	73	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	3	-9	12.0	16.7	-4.70	16.1	19.6	-3.50
Raja Bell	71	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	6	-15	12.8	14.2	-1.40	16.2	19.4	-3.22

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	79	81	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-7	17	15.7	23.6	-7.88	12.9	14.6	-1.70
Tracy McGrady	83	84	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-3	9	16.5	20.8	-4.38	13.0	14.2	-1.24
Shane Battier	75	77	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-5	13	16.8	17.8	-1.00	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Yao Ming	80	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-2	7	16.7	18.7	-2.05	12.8	15.0	-2.17
Juwan Howard	46	45	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	-1	5	18.5	15.7	2.80	14.6	11.9	2.74
Charles Hayes	25	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	3	-3	16.8	17.1	-0.23	11.8	13.6	-1.85
Dikembe Mutombo	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	5	-7	18.7	16.7	2.05	15.0	12.8	2.17
Luther Head	60	60	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.34	-12	15	-27	17.5	16.2	1.28	13.1	13.3	-0.22
John Lucas III	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	7	-11	23.3	16.1	7.24	14.7	12.9	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 85, SAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.94,0.96,1	94.8%
TOR 86, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
DAL 91, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,1,1,1	94.3%