NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	86		Excitement	5.7 [705]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +10.7%
Washington Wizards	102		Comeback	1.4 [978]		LVP	Lamond Murray (TOR): -15.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	21	52%	0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Jerome Moiso	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	57%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Rafer Alston	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.04	-0.05	18	48%	-0.00	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Bosh	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	12	47%	-0.04	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	10	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Loren Woods	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	2	17%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	9	11%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.04	22	57%	0.13	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.03	23	52%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	43%	-0.04	1	0.03	1	100%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	21	43%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	45%	-0.03	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	21%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	27.6	14.6	28.2	2.4	29.4	126.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +19.4%

WAS +4.8%

WAS +20.6%

WAS +5.1%

WAS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	13.7	15.7	15.5	86.9	105.2	104.0
season	15.1	14.7		104.8	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.4		105.5	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.4	15.1	14.5	11.1	13.7
WAS	16.3	16.2	14.3	16.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pape Sow	16	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-20	24	14.0	13.6	0.37	16.4	15.6	0.83
Milt Palacio	42	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-22	28	13.6	13.8	-0.16	15.9	15.6	0.24
Matt Bonner	60	58	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-18	20	12.6	15.3	-2.67	15.6	16.0	-0.42
Morris Peterson	41	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.26	-11	-5	-6	12.0	14.8	-2.80	16.0	15.5	0.48
Jerome Moiso	5	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-11	6	17.0	13.5	3.49	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Loren Woods	36	35	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	-3	-10	16.0	12.4	3.59	15.9	15.6	0.26
Lamond Murray	35	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	-2	-12	15.4	12.8	2.61	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Chris Bosh	88	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	-3	-10	13.1	18.1	-4.95	15.7	15.7	-0.01
Rafer Alston	92	91	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	-1	-14	13.9	11.0	2.89	15.6	17.8	-2.25
Vince Carter	80	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.09	-21	5	-26	13.7	13.6	0.07	15.8	15.2	0.59

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	58	59	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.13	23	-7	30	15.9	15.4	0.56	14.6	12.4	2.20
Gilbert Arenas	78	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.13	23	-7	30	15.8	15.4	0.44	13.8	13.3	0.42
Antawn Jamison	83	85	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	-6	28	15.8	15.2	0.59	13.5	14.6	-1.11
Brendan Haywood	63	62	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	3	10	16.0	15.2	0.84	14.5	12.4	2.09
Larry Hughes	79	81	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	0	16	15.7	15.7	-0.00	13.6	13.9	-0.31
Anthony Peeler	12	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	17	-18	15.5	15.8	-0.25	13.8	13.7	0.09
Michael Ruffin	23	26	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	21	-26	14.7	16.0	-1.34	14.7	13.3	1.42
Juan Dixon	23	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	22	-28	15.8	15.7	0.14	14.0	13.6	0.35
Jarvis Hayes	58	59	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	18	-20	15.4	16.2	-0.72	12.3	15.7	-3.42
Steve Blake	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	19	-22	15.1	15.8	-0.65	8.4	14.2	-5.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DEN 93, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,1	94.6%
PHX 105, HOU 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	94.5%