NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	86		Excitement	5.5 [682]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): +10.1%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	1.1 [964]		LVP	Andre Miller (LAC): -20.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Melvin Ely	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	15	53%	-0.03	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Marko Jaric	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Andre Miller	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21	-0.20	-0.06	-0.05	13	22%	-0.09	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	16	62%	0.15	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	5	72%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	13	48%	0.03	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	60%	0.02	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.03	17	35%	-0.07	5	-0.11	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	29.4	15.5	30.5	1.6	29.2	131.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +16.7%

ATL +19.4%

ATL +12.0%

ATL +0.1%

ATL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ATL	NBA	LAC	ATL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.7	15.5	93.5	102.2	101.6
season	15.4	15.1		100.2	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.4	17.2	17.1	15.9	16.4
ATL	13.4	12.8	14.2	19.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	48	49	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.27	10	-19	29	15.0	18.0	-2.91	16.3	12.9	3.46
Marko Jaric	23	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-9	9	14.5	17.1	-2.55	14.7	14.7	-0.08
Chris Wilcox	53	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.21	4	-13	17	15.7	17.5	-1.78	15.3	14.0	1.31
Wang Zhi-zhi	3	2	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-6	3	11.7	16.6	-4.93	16.0	14.7	1.32
Tremaine Fowlkes	33	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.13	1	-10	11	14.4	17.6	-3.23	13.9	15.1	-1.19
Eric Piatkowski	34	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-7	5	14.6	17.5	-2.84	13.1	15.7	-2.51
Cherokee Parks	30	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	1	-11	18.8	15.3	3.51	14.3	14.9	-0.61
Corey Maggette	58	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-2	-5	17.5	14.6	2.84	15.7	13.1	2.51
Andre Miller	69	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.14	-9	0	-9	17.1	14.5	2.55	14.7	14.7	0.08
Sean Rooks	41	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	7	-23	18.4	14.8	3.57	12.7	16.3	-3.60
Lamar Odom	68	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	4	-17	17.0	14.9	2.11	14.8	14.4	0.45

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	80	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-5	19	14.3	17.2	-2.84	16.9	14.3	2.59
Jason Terry	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-3	15	14.7	14.6	0.12	17.0	14.4	2.54
Glenn Robinson	75	76	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	-2	13	14.4	15.9	-1.53	16.6	15.6	1.06
Theo Ratliff	63	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	1	7	15.1	13.9	1.20	17.3	14.6	2.65
Dion Glover	51	50	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	-1	11	14.3	15.2	-0.96	17.4	15.3	2.11
Ira Newble	43	44	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.21	-2	11	-13	15.4	14.1	1.28	14.7	18.0	-3.23
Alan Henderson	39	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	13	-17	14.8	14.6	0.19	14.8	17.7	-2.89
Darvin Ham	21	19	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	10	-11	15.6	14.5	1.11	16.0	16.5	-0.55
Jermaine Jackson	21	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	12	-15	14.6	14.7	-0.12	14.4	17.0	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
GSW 87, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.4%
SEA 102, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%