NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	90		Excitement	7.1 [394]		MVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): +7.6%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	2.6 [610]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -30.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.09,-0.03,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	25	57%	0.08	2	-0.07	13	77%	-0.04
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	45%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	8	33%	-0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27	-0.18	-0.10	-0.02	15	32%	-0.20	3	-0.08	7	29%	-0.04
Doug Christie	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.3	-0.04	-0.24	0.02	14	39%	-0.28	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.08	0.00	4	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.13	0.00	5	50%	0.14	2	-0.07	6	33%	-0.06
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	9	67%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	15	56%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.05	-0.04	21	54%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	25%	-0.11
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	8	31%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.3	29.4	16.4	23.4	1.8	46.5	148.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +79.9%

TOR -14.7%

TOR -21.1%

TOR -0.8%

NYK +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	15.2	92.8	93.8	101.7
season	15.5	16.1		101.8	100.0
opponent	15.8	14.9		98.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.1	16.7	13.8	14.7	14.6
NYK	16.2	13.3	14.4	16.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	5	6	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.04	0	-1	1	17.8	14.4	3.42	11.0	15.4	-4.41
Dell Curry	4	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	0	-1	18.7	14.4	4.37	14.2	15.2	-0.92
Charles Oakley	68	68	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.46	11	-12	23	13.8	16.2	-2.40	16.2	12.7	3.49
Doug Christie	65	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.48	10	-11	21	14.2	15.3	-1.08	15.3	14.7	0.67
Alvin Williams	40	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	5	-11	14.2	14.8	-0.65	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Muggsy Bogues	57	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-6	11	14.8	14.2	0.65	15.4	14.7	0.70
Tracy McGrady	47	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	14	-29	16.2	13.0	3.13	13.9	16.3	-2.32
Vince Carter	83	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.50	4	-5	9	13.9	18.5	-4.61	15.5	13.0	2.52
Kevin Willis	41	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	14	-29	15.5	13.9	1.61	13.0	16.7	-3.74
Antonio Davis	75	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-3	5	14.3	15.5	-1.16	15.9	12.7	3.20

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	65	66	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	-3	7	15.2	15.0	0.25	14.5	14.7	-0.27
Larry Johnson	37	38	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	-3	7	14.9	15.2	-0.30	13.9	14.9	-1.00
Latrell Sprewell	70	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.51	-5	6	-11	15.9	13.3	2.60	14.1	15.9	-1.84
John Wallace	37	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	-7	15	14.8	15.3	-0.57	16.4	13.4	2.99
Patrick Ewing	69	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	4	-7	15.7	13.9	1.80	14.0	15.9	-1.90
Allan Houston	77	75	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.42	-8	9	-17	14.9	16.1	-1.22	13.9	16.9	-2.98
Charlie Ward	71	70	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	0	1	14.8	16.2	-1.39	14.9	13.6	1.34
Kurt Thomas	42	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	1	-1	15.1	15.1	-0.03	15.0	14.2	0.88
Chris Dudley	17	17	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	-3	7	13.6	15.4	-1.80	16.8	14.1	2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.78,0.84,1	94.0%
MEM 83, NOH 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.9,0.77,0.98,1	93.9%
IND 101, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.9,0.72,0.67,0.58,1	93.5%