NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	7.4 [335]		MVP	Raef LaFrentz (DEN): +19.4%
Denver Nuggets	105		Comeback	1.9 [380]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -26.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd MacCulloch	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Vernon Maxwell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	12	54%	0.03	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	9	42%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.11
Eric Snow	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	7	50%	-0.01	6	-0.19	6	83%	0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.26,-0.26	-0.11	-0.15	0.00	24	54%	-0.17	5	-0.09	21	81%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.06	0.00	13	74%	0.19	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,0.04,0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.09	-0.02	15	49%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	16	53%	0.06	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	19	49%	-0.08	3	-0.12	11	91%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.4	32.3	15.8	31.1	1.7	40.2	147.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +25.5%

DEN +13.0%

PHI -3.7%

DEN +11.8%

DEN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	14.2	13.7	15.5	96.1	101.0	100.9
season	15.7	15.2		101.4	101.4
opponent	15.2	15.5		104.1	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.1	15.2	16.9	10.5	14.2
DEN	13.2	14.8	13.1	13.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Maxwell	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-8	9	14.1	14.2	-0.12	12.4	13.8	-1.47
George Lynch	52	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-12	17	13.8	14.7	-0.87	14.3	13.1	1.20
Matt Geiger	23	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-7	7	14.8	14.1	0.71	13.8	13.7	0.05
Jumaine Jones	13	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-6	5	11.5	14.6	-3.18	14.8	13.6	1.27
Aaron McKie	57	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-5	3	12.9	15.9	-3.04	13.3	14.3	-0.95
Todd MacCulloch	41	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-4	1	14.0	14.4	-0.39	12.3	14.7	-2.38
Toni Kukoc	60	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	4	-15	15.8	12.0	3.76	13.3	14.3	-0.97
Theo Ratliff	63	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-1	-5	14.9	13.2	1.67	14.7	12.0	2.77
Eric Snow	93	96	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	3	-13	14.3	13.7	0.62	13.8	12.4	1.47
Allen Iverson	100	101	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	1	-9	14.2	17.0	-2.82	13.7	15.3	-1.65

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	94	92	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	4	-1	13.6	15.1	-1.51	14.1	15.2	-1.07
James Posey	42	41	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	-3	13	13.1	14.2	-1.11	16.5	12.7	3.81
Raef LaFrentz	78	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	0	7	13.6	14.0	-0.41	15.2	11.0	4.23
Nick Van Exel	75	75	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	4	-1	13.7	13.9	-0.23	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Voshon Lenard	86	84	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	5	-3	13.5	15.0	-1.53	13.5	17.6	-4.03
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	18	18	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	2	3	15.0	13.5	1.53	17.6	13.5	4.03
Robert Pack	29	27	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	3	1	13.9	13.7	0.23	15.0	13.9	1.09
Keon Clark	32	30	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	6	-5	14.9	13.2	1.65	13.0	14.8	-1.80
George McCloud	64	63	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	8	-9	13.7	13.7	0.05	12.4	17.1	-4.68
Ryan Bowen	2	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	6	-5	19.5	13.6	5.88	6.0	14.3	-8.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.85,1	94.0%
POR 83, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
LAC 81, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%