NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	83		Excitement	5.2 [771]		MVP	Robin Lopez (NOH): +15.5%
New Orleans Hornets	90		Comeback	2.7 [175]		LVP	Terrel Harris (NOH): -8.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	13	57%	0.15	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jon Leuer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dexter Pittman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	14	48%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Austin Daye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	12	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	3	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.01	13	57%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.02	12	74%	0.20	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.02
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	14	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	13	41%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	13	39%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Terrel Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	0.5	32.5	15.4	23.0	2.7	38.4	139.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +37.1%

NOH +5.1%

NOH +16.9%

MEM -11.4%

NOH +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOH	NBA	MEM	NOH	NBA
this game	16.0	17.7	15.4	96.5	105.9	104.1
season	16.5	16.3		102.9	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		108.1	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.2	15.3	19.4	13.3	16.0
NOH	21.7	16.7	14.9	18.0	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	13.0	16.0	-3.01	8.0	17.8	-9.83
Dexter Pittman	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	13.0	16.0	-3.01	8.0	17.8	-9.83
Tony Allen	41	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-10	13	17.6	14.5	3.03	17.6	17.8	-0.27
Tony Wroten	9	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-4	1	10.4	16.6	-6.18	19.5	17.5	1.97
Mike Conley	66	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.41	10	-17	27	16.5	14.1	2.45	18.1	16.3	1.81
Austin Daye	6	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	-2	-3	17.0	15.9	1.10	17.2	17.8	-0.59
Zach Randolph	48	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-7	7	16.9	14.8	2.08	18.2	17.1	1.03
Ed Davis	25	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	2	-11	13.9	16.8	-2.96	17.4	17.8	-0.39
Tayshaun Prince	61	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-9	11	15.5	17.2	-1.78	18.4	16.2	2.21
Marc Gasol	67	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.37	4	-11	15	16.3	14.7	1.66	18.0	16.8	1.19
Darrell Arthur	20	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	5	-17	16.8	15.7	1.14	16.7	18.0	-1.27
Quincy Pondexter	31	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	2	-11	15.5	16.2	-0.67	17.0	18.1	-1.14
Jerryd Bayless	54	54	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.15	-16	9	-25	15.2	17.3	-2.08	16.9	19.1	-2.12

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	67	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	2	3	17.6	18.2	-0.64	16.0	16.1	-0.10
Lou Amundson	28	29	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	-7	21	17.3	17.9	-0.64	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Brian Roberts	40	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	3	1	18.4	17.1	1.24	15.6	16.3	-0.75
Darius Miller	24	23	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	-3	13	18.1	17.6	0.57	16.2	15.9	0.27
Terrel Harris	30	30	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	0	7	17.5	17.9	-0.39	15.5	16.2	-0.78
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	45	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	2	3	16.9	18.6	-1.72	16.6	15.3	1.35
Eric Gordon	56	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	8	-9	17.4	18.3	-0.90	16.0	15.9	0.12
Robin Lopez	52	51	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.31	-3	10	-13	17.9	17.4	0.48	16.7	14.9	1.74
Greivis Vasquez	61	62	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	11	-15	18.1	16.7	1.46	15.9	16.2	-0.26
Ryan Anderson	23	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	9	-11	18.2	17.5	0.69	15.1	16.3	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.9,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.85,1	93.9%
LAC 85, UTA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.77,0.65,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
ATL 105, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.5%