NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	5.1 [775]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +19.0%
Utah Jazz	107		Comeback	2.3 [1153]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -18.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	13	71%	0.08	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.02	10	52%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Craig Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	11	36%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	15	35%	-0.01	5	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.04	-0.03	17	32%	-0.08	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.06	0.05	17	73%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	5	79%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	58%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	15	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othyus Jeffers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.04	1	0.01	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	48%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	11	21%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	27.1	15.7	26.2	1.7	25.3	124.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.8%

UTA +4.1%

LAC -7.6%

UTA +28.2%

UTA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.4	13.6	15.3	87.6	112.6	106.0
season	15.5	15.3		101.9	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.2		104.5	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	18.0	17.2	16.2	16.4
UTA	15.2	13.3	11.6	14.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	17	17	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-22	22	14.8	16.7	-1.93	14.4	13.4	0.97
Mardy Collins	24	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-24	26	15.1	16.8	-1.77	16.3	12.7	3.68
DeAndre Jordan	36	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.22	-11	-11	0	16.4	16.4	0.01	13.3	13.7	-0.36
Craig Smith	21	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.17	-12	-10	-2	16.9	16.3	0.57	11.6	14.1	-2.48
Drew Gooden	67	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-16	10	16.7	15.8	0.89	14.3	11.7	2.61
Travis Outlaw	52	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	-9	-4	16.3	16.5	-0.14	12.4	14.9	-2.51
Steve Blake	67	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-4	-14	16.0	17.3	-1.24	13.8	13.1	0.64
Baron Davis	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-7	-8	17.0	15.2	1.73	13.8	13.1	0.72
Rasual Butler	67	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	-3	-16	16.9	15.3	1.66	12.7	15.4	-2.69
Chris Kaman	69	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.01	-18	-4	-14	16.2	16.8	-0.58	13.6	13.4	0.21

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	66	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.15	19	3	16	12.6	15.8	-3.22	17.4	14.2	3.15
Paul Millsap	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	11	0	14.2	12.8	1.34	15.3	17.7	-2.40
Deron Williams	64	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.24	19	3	16	13.5	13.7	-0.23	17.5	14.2	3.26
CJ Miles	38	39	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	15	-8	13.5	13.6	-0.05	14.6	17.6	-2.96
Wesley Matthews	49	50	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	18	-14	13.3	13.8	-0.48	15.7	17.1	-1.39
Kyle Korver	41	42	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.31	19	3	16	14.1	13.1	1.04	17.5	15.5	2.00
Mehmet Okur	68	70	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.22	15	7	8	14.2	11.9	2.38	16.5	16.1	0.42
Andrei Kirilenko	57	58	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.23	15	7	8	13.6	13.5	0.05	17.6	14.6	2.96
Sundiata Gaines	20	21	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	21	-20	12.2	13.9	-1.72	13.9	17.1	-3.20
Ronnie Price	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	20	-18	16.5	13.2	3.28	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Kosta Koufos	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	11.0	13.7	-2.70	13.6	16.6	-2.97
Othyus Jeffers	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	11.0	13.7	-2.70	13.6	16.6	-2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.77,0.65,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 79, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
SAS 105, GSW 122	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
BOS 93, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.85,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%