NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	121		Excitement	12.2 [12]		MVP	Larry Hughes (PHI): +45.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	122		Comeback	25.5 [34]		LVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): -13.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.26,0.26	0.04	0.22	0.00	4	92%	0.35	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Michael Curry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.01	7	75%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Terry Mills	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	13	59%	0.14	4	-0.13	13	77%	-0.03
John Crotty	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Loy Vaught	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	1	50%	-0.05	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Grant Hill	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	0.08	-0.15	0.02	22	64%	0.12	3	-0.21	6	83%	0.14

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.06	0.40	0.00	14	71%	0.59	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.41,-0.41,0.31	0.31	-0.05	0.37	0.00	12	42%	0.71	2	-0.39	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.07,-0.02,-0.04,0.16	0.16	-0.07	0.22	0.00	29	48%	0.32	3	-0.16	9	56%	-0.06
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	-0.01	-0.00	14	72%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	15	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	3	60%	0.01	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.05
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	9	33%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	29.6	14.8	27.5	2.5	39.9	1.8	17.6	163.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +116.4%

DET -61.0%

DET -3.6%

DET -9.4%

PHI +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	14.2	15.2	111.0	111.9	101.7
season	14.1	15.0		104.2	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.3		98.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	14.9	14.1	16.5	14.9	13.7	15.0
PHI	15.7	13.6	12.9	15.1	13.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	87	88	0.33	-0.83	1.15	-0.14	16	-17	33	15.0	14.9	0.07	14.4	13.4	0.97
John Crotty	12	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	3	-7	14.3	15.0	-0.71	13.4	14.3	-0.90
Jerome Williams	54	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.16	-9	8	-17	14.4	15.5	-1.10	14.7	13.7	1.02
Terry Mills	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.53	9	-10	19	15.2	14.7	0.55	14.0	14.4	-0.36
Lindsey Hunter	93	91	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.44	5	-6	11	15.1	14.1	1.06	14.3	13.9	0.39
Grant Hill	93	91	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.58	8	-9	17	15.4	12.2	3.18	14.5	12.9	1.52
Loy Vaught	16	18	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	11	-23	14.9	15.0	-0.10	13.3	14.4	-1.12
Jerry Stackhouse	101	101	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.46	-2	1	-3	14.6	19.4	-4.76	14.1	15.9	-1.80
Michael Curry	33	33	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.36	-16	15	-31	15.0	15.0	0.01	13.5	14.5	-0.95

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	67	68	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.39	18	-17	35	14.1	14.5	-0.39	15.5	14.1	1.31
Todd MacCulloch	28	25	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.55	5	-4	9	13.0	14.6	-1.63	12.5	15.7	-3.17
Eric Snow	84	84	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.49	3	-2	5	14.3	14.0	0.33	15.3	13.7	1.61
Larry Hughes	51	52	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-5	11	13.7	14.6	-0.91	14.2	15.6	-1.44
Allen Iverson	99	97	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.41	-5	6	-11	14.0	15.9	-1.86	14.7	16.8	-2.10
George Lynch	66	66	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	1	-1	13.9	14.7	-0.73	15.7	13.9	1.82
Billy Owens	36	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	0	1	13.8	14.4	-0.56	15.6	14.7	0.87
Bruce Bowen	9	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	1	-1	14.0	14.2	-0.23	12.8	15.2	-2.39
Tyrone Hill	64	66	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.16	-10	11	-21	15.0	13.1	1.87	15.5	14.1	1.48
Matt Geiger	41	41	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.05	-13	14	-27	15.8	13.3	2.52	14.4	15.3	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.55,0.85,0.42,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 108, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.52,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.83,0.9,0.63,0.77,0.58,0.5,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,1	87.0%
PHX 113, WAS 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.23,0.42,1	86.8%
CHI 107, UTA 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.03,0.15,1	86.7%