NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	12.0 [18]		MVP	Calbert Cheaney (WAS): +27.4%
Washington Bullets	115		Comeback	7.1 [184]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -61.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Johnson	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.26	0.04	0.23	0.01	21	65%	0.46	5	-0.20	10	100%	0.16
Mark Bryant	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wayman Tisdale	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	14	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rex Chapman	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Dumas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	7	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	0.05	-0.15	0.01	16	56%	-0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.01	-0.24	0.01	16	59%	-0.17	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.19
Hot Rod Williams	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.10	-0.18	-0.01	3	33%	-0.04	4	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.27	0.27	-0.00	0.27	-0.01	13	50%	0.31	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.11	-0.00	15	60%	0.23	2	-0.11	10	80%	-0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.03	0.02	18	46%	0.07	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.04
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.01	5	69%	0.01	1	-0.09	3	33%	-0.06
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.18,-0.1,-0.19,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.42,-0.62	-0.62	-0.11	-0.51	0.00	18	54%	-0.14	7	-0.48	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	25.1	15.4	24.2	1.6	42.7	1.5	20.4	158.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.9%

WAS +0.0%

WAS +42.6%

PHX -25.8%

PHX -7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	WAS	NBA	PHX	WAS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	15.6	106.6	109.5	104.4
season	14.6	14.8		106.8	104.3
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.3	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	15.1	13.4	18.9	15.2	15.8	15.6
WAS	15.6	15.4	13.8	13.6	14.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hot Rod Williams	66	65	0.41	-0.91	1.33	0.09	11	-13	24	15.4	15.9	-0.45	14.9	13.9	1.00
Rex Chapman	23	23	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-8	14	15.4	15.6	-0.20	18.1	13.5	4.59
Wayman Tisdale	52	51	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.24	-5	3	-8	15.5	15.6	-0.11	14.3	14.8	-0.45
Joe Kleine	14	14	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.27	-2	0	-2	15.9	15.6	0.30	12.2	14.9	-2.69
Mark Bryant	62	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-3	4	16.6	14.2	2.45	15.1	13.8	1.38
Tony Dumas	44	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	0	-2	14.0	16.7	-2.69	12.2	16.3	-4.06
Wesley Person	88	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	3	-8	15.5	16.1	-0.62	14.0	17.4	-3.35
Steve Nash	23	23	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.52	0	-2	2	11.9	16.6	-4.70	13.3	14.9	-1.53
Kevin Johnson	86	84	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.49	-4	2	-6	16.0	13.9	2.09	14.5	14.5	0.02
Danny Manning	73	73	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	10	-22	16.5	13.5	3.02	15.5	12.2	3.30

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harvey Grant	41	40	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-2	6	13.4	15.2	-1.81	14.8	16.1	-1.28
Rod Strickland	88	89	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	2	-2	14.3	15.8	-1.53	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Juwan Howard	88	89	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.47	-1	3	-4	14.9	12.8	2.12	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Chris Webber	95	97	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	3	-4	14.1	19.2	-5.15	15.6	16.0	-0.44
Calbert Cheaney	57	56	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.35	0	2	-2	15.1	13.9	1.15	16.8	14.3	2.53
Tracy Murray	41	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	-3	8	14.9	14.3	0.51	14.1	16.6	-2.48
Lorenzo Williams	32	33	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	-2	6	14.3	14.7	-0.38	15.9	15.5	0.41
Gheorghe Muresan	64	65	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	4	-6	15.4	13.3	2.09	16.3	14.4	1.88
Chris Whitney	19	19	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.27	1	1	0	14.4	14.6	-0.21	14.9	15.7	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.23,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 86, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	90.1%
SAC 141, GSW 143	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.72,0.68,0.92,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.27,1	89.1%
DET 92, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.15,1	88.8%